Trying to avoid a three game sweep at the hands of the World Champs, I am placing my MLB picks backing the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday to do just that against the San Francisco Giants.
Both Jared Weaver and Tim Lincecum have had very good major league careers. I like Weaver a little bit more in this spot although his numbers are not good so far this year, this should be a good bounce back game for him. Lincecum has been solid this year with a 3.27 ERA, but this is kind of not telling the whole story as his WHIP is 1.50 and batters are hitting a solid .291 against him. Weaver on the other hand has not been solid in the ERA category coming in at 5.83, but his WHIP is solid at 1.33. The main issue for Weaver has been the long ball or the big hit, in his last outing he gave up 6 runs off of six hits in seven innings mainly because of two homeruns, but his WHIP for that game was still only 0.86. Lincecum is also in a bounce back spot but he got roughed up even more than Weaver in his last outing giving up 4 runs off of 8 hits in 4 innings for an ERA of 9.00 and WHIP of 2.75. Career wise Weaver has the better ERA and WHIP than Lincecum at 3.33 compared to 3.58 and 1.15 to 1.26.
The MLB Betting Line
The value here to me is with the Angels, MLB odds makers have come out with them at +100. For me that is a good number for three reasons, first they are trying to avoid the sweep, second they have the better pitcher in my opinion, and third there is no juice to be paid.
The pitching statistics for these teams are basically dead even with the Angels having a team ERA of 3.83 and the Giants at 3.84. Hitting wise the Giants do have a bit of an advantage so far this season, but not by much, neither team is scorching the league right now. For example the Giants lead the Angels on hits and batting average, but the Angels lead the Giants in home runs and runs scored. Neither team is in the upper half of the league statistically offensively.
Should be a good matchup with Weaver and Lincecum but I like Weaver to come in and get it done and for the Angels to avoid the sweep, there is good value with them and that makes them my MLB pick of the day.
Free MLB Picks: LA Angels at +101 from The Greek