MLB Picks: Wager On Rangers +102 & Under 8½ Against Mariners

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, April 5, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 5, 2016 4:00 PM UTC

The Rangers look for good innings from starting left-hander Martín Pérez when they host the Mariners and right-handed Hisashi Iwakuma in Game 2 of a 3 game series. Let’s make a couple of MLB picks on this game.

The Texas Rangers will look for some good innings from starting left-hander Martín Pérez on Tuesday when they host the Seattle Mariners and right-handed starter Hisashi Iwakuma at the Globe Life Park at Arlington in Game 2 of their 3-game MLB Opening Week series in Arlington. Let’s take a look at the how these two teams did head-to-head in the 16 games they played in AL West action last season and try to apply anything which may have been learned from watching the series opener on Monday as well as some early season MLB Logic, and then make a couple of MLB picks based on the predicted Final Score, which may resemble—or may even be exactly the same—as Opening Day’s was.


Odds Overview
The Seattle Mariners send right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma (47-25, 551 Ks, 3.17 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, MLB Career) to the mound on Tuesday to face the Texas Rangers and left-hander Martín Pérez (18-19, 192 Ks, 4.22 ERA, 1.40 WHIP) at Globe Life Park at Arlington—a stadium name which should come with an accompanying barf bag—in Arlington (of all places) in Game 2 of this MLB Opening Week 3-game series. Offshore Oddsmakers in beautiful Freeport-Montego Bay, Jamaica have made the host Rangers slight -118 favorites with the visiting Mariners priced at +108 as the small Road Underdog (The Greek) with the game’s Total (Runs) set at 8½ -120 (The Greek). The Run Line (-1½ or +1½ Runs) MLB odds see Texas -1½ priced at +174 and Seattle +1½ at -190 (The Greek) with the First 5 Innings marketplace seeing Texas and Pérez as -120 favorites (5Dimes, Mariners +100) with the First 5 Innings Total at 4 Over -130 (5Dimes).

Texas won the MLB Season Opener for both teams on Monday, 3-2. The Mariners held a 2-0 lead through 4 innings but the hosts popped 3 runs on the scoreboard in the Bottom of the 5th, getting two unearned runs off Seattle starter and ace, Félix Hernández, then holding on for the 3-2 win, blowing (the Mariners) a chance to tie the Boston Beaneaters (1887-1896) with 10 straight Opening Day wins. The Rangers and Hamels closed as -125 favorites here at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook and the game went Under the Total of 8 (at Pinnacle), although some posted a 7½ (MGM Mirage).


Seattle Mariners
The Seattle Mariners (76-86 last season, 4th Place AL West) will need their 3-4-5-6 hitters to all have great production seasons and on Monday in the opener, Seattle Manager Scott Servais (making his debut) had 2B Robinson Cano, RF Nelson Cruz, 3B Kyle Seager and DH Franklin Gutierrez in those 3-4-5-6 spots in his Mariners batting order. So if this ever-changing team is to somehow make the MLB Playoffs, the Mariners (33/1 to win World Series, Ladbrokes) will definitely need the heart of its lineup to come through. On Monday against Texas starter and southpaw Cole Hamels, those 3-4-5-6 hitters for the Mariners went a combined 2-for-13 with Cano and Seager accounting for the only Seattle runs with solo Home Runs in the 1st and 2nd Innings, respectively off veteran lefty Hamels. Those spots in the order will have to do much better and at least try to use some of the At Bats to get runners on base—they struck out a combined 6 times—as opposed to taking the long, looping swings so many MLB players do going deep for the Fences. It worked for Cano and Seager once each, but with nobody on in a game their team lost by 1 Run with their Ace going, and on Opening Day. Bleecch. This could be a long season for Seattle and although General Managers and Managers and Fans always want teams to be better, having Iwakuma as your #2 Starter behind Ace Hernández is a good thing and with this being so early on in the MLB Regular Season when Pitchers have distinct advantages over Hitters and Texas struggling to score just 3 Runs—all in one (half) Inning—expecting a decent start from the 34-year-old Japanese Righty here seems logical.


Texas Rangers
Rougned Odor and the Texas Rangers (88-74 last season, 1st Place in AL West) earned a real Baseball Win with just 1 Hit on Opening Day—just like last season on Opening Day—on Monday, making Stone Soup out of almost nothing in the Bottom of the 5th Inning to score the 3 Runs that they somehow scratched out against King Félix (6-1 on Opening Day). The Rangers used 3 Walks, 2 Errors and that lone, bloop Single by Fielder to score all 3 Runs in a game that all basically came down to one AB (Beltré) and its result (an Error by M’s SS Ketel Marte). Baseball’s back, boys. Texas Relievers Jake Diekman (8th) and Shawn Tolleson (9th) both had perfect outings from the Rangers Bullpen for Manager Jeff Banister but the defending AL West champion and homeboys Texas (20/1 to win World Series, Ladbrokes) will need to get the bats alive and quickly and that means players like 3B Adrián Beltré, DH Prince Fielder (100/1 to win 2016 MLB Regular Season Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), RF Shin Soo-Choo, LF Ian Desmond, CF Delino DeShields and 1B Mitch Moreland will have to come through in the chillier month of April when many MLB Hitters (and their muscles) are more rigid and still trying to get into Baseball Shape, much like the Tin Man in The Wizard of The Oz, although Prince Fielder looks a little more like the Lion and Odor the Scarecrow with that thing he has on his chin I think he thinks is a Beard. It is closer to a clump of Seaweed or Dryer Lint. Razors are cheap Rougned, as as common names like John and José.


Recent Series Results, Weather Forecast, Umpiring Crew, Logical Reasoning and Picks
Texas got just 1 Hit in Monday’s Opening Day with against the Mariners and facing a pitcher in Iwakuma who almost No-Hit them—after throwing a No-Hitter the start before last season—here at this very same ballpark points strongly to the Under—especially with the calendar on the wall reading April (Hitters over Pitchers), Monday’s Underish result in Game 1 (5 Runs scored, 2 Unearned), Seattle also having it’s own problems on Offense and the number (Total) being set at 8½. Although facing Aces and playing on Opening Day, both teams looked like they were having trouble getting runners on base and the only way the Mariners could score was by going Deep, via Home Runs from Cano and Seager (100/1 to win 2016 MLB Regular Season Home Run Title, Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). The Weather (Partly Cloudy, Breezy, Winds SSW 15 mph (gusts 26 mph) should help too some, with Temperatures dipping from the local 5:05 p.m. CDT start and the Sun still being out (84°) and then seeing El Sol set and Mercury dipping to around a forecasted 58°, with the first Night game of the year for both really becoming a Night Game at that point. But no way will it be as nice and calm and Sunny as it was on Monday.

Last season, Seattle went an impressive 9-7 against Texas including a respectable 3-3 mark here in Arlington. And the Rangers first Loss to Seattle (Aug. 18) at Home last season came in Game 2 of the first series in the Lone Star State with Iwakuma—after no-hitting the baltimore Orioles in a 3-0 Win at Safeco in Seattle the start before—being brilliant again, allowing just 2 Earned Runs, 5 Hits and 1 Walk in a 3-2 Mariners win. Success. Iwakuma had one stretch where he retired 12 straight batters at that game in this venue, so, with Texas scrounging out just that one hit (Prince Fielder single), expect Iwakuma to challenge the hosts again and probably not to get into too many jams against the Rangers and old slugger Adrián Beltré (413 career Home Runs). And like Monday, it seems the Home Site will serve the Rangers well and that a couple of these other guys will be able to muster a Hit or two against Iwakuma. The Under should be weighted about twice as much as the Side in my mind in this Game 2 of this 3-game series which will wrap up on Wednesday with a 2:05 p.m. ET (11:05 a.m. PT) afternoon start (12:05 p.m. Texas time, CT) with Rangers right-hander Colby Lewis facing Mariners southpaw Wade Miley (49-46, 646 Ks, 3.95 ERA Lifetime) in another game in which hosts Texas should be the Home Favorites. Umpiring Crew—Home Plate: Marvin Hudson, First Base: James Hoye: Second Base: Chad Fairchild, Third Base: Jim Joyce.

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Predicted Final Score: Rangers 3 Mariners 2
Free MLB Pick:  Rangers +102 & Under 8½ +110
Best Line Offered:  at Heritage & 5Dimes

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