MLB Picks: Unreliable Offenses Signal Towards White Sox vs. Twins Going 'Under'

Steven Suarez

Thursday, April 30, 2015 1:14 PM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 30, 2015 1:14 PM GMT

The White Sox have struggled to open up the 2015 season, but they'll be happy to have ace Chris Sale on the mound tonight. The MLB odds favor Chicago tonight and we've got our top pick inside.

Odds Overview
Chris Sale and the White Sox are firm -160 favorites on the MLB odds board despite being on the road. You can back the Twins at a plump price of +150 if you so desire.

The total for tonight's contest has been set at seven runs, with Sale set to be opposed by Trevor May.

 

Minnesota Twins (May)
The Twins just wrapped up a home series against the Tigers in which they lost two of three games. In the finale, Phil Hughes had to leave early due to injury and the bullpen came in and got absolutely rocked in the 10-7 defeat. Big days at the plate from the likes of Joe Mauer, Trevor Plouffe and Oswaldo Arcia all went for naught.

The home stand will continue for Minnesota, who is set to begin a four-game series with the White Sox before tackling Oakland in a four-game set right after. Trevor May will start tonight's opener, hoping to improve upon what's been a pretty shaky start to his season.

May is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the year, but he's looked solid over his last two outings, though his latest was cut short because of an injury concern. However, he's gotten the all clear and is expected to toe the tubber this evening at home, where he's allowed six earned runs over 11 and 1/3 innings in two 2015 starts.

 

Chicago White Sox (Sale)
Yesterday afternoon's game between the White Sox and Orioles, which was played in an empty ballpark, turned out pretty ugly for the road team. Chicago's Jeff Samardzija was rocked badly early on and that paved the way for Baltimore to run away with a 8-2 victory at home.

After an eventful few days in Baltimore, which saw Chicago only end up playing one time, they'll now head to Minnesota for a four-game set. And, fortunately for the White Sox, they get to turn to their ace to start off the series with a bang. Sale is 2-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.11 WHIP through three starts this season and looks like he's back to his old self after rehabbing and finding his stamina again.

The lefty has already faced Minnesota once this season (in his first start of the season) and he totally shut the Twins down. He allowed five hits and one run while striking out eight over six innings. We wouldn't be surprised to see him be even more dominant this time around, as he's had a chance to work his way back to full strength over the past couple of weeks. 

 

MLB Pick
While Sale is a stud and is hard to fade when he takes the mound, we're not so sure the White Sox offense will be able to provide enough juice for the southpaw here.

May has done some good things early on despite his inflated ERA (which is mostly from his rough start in the season opener) and appears to be healthy, and we think he can find success against this lackluster Chicago offense. The White Sox are in the bottom 10 in every major offensive category (run scored, batting average, on base percentage and slugging), so they're not a team to fear right now.

So, with two unreliable offenses going at it, we think the UNDER may very well hold the best  MLB pick for tonight. You have to figure Sale is a lock to post a quality start, and if May can hold his own too, this one should end with a low total.

 MLB Pick: UNDER 7

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