MLB Picks: Undervalued Teams That Should be on your Radar

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, June 17, 2014 12:54 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 17, 2014 12:54 PM UTC

By the end of this week, most MLB franchises will have a third of the season in the books and those making sports picks have pretty solid feel where all 30 teams are presently.

Nonetheless, there is still opportunity to be had reviewing the daily betting odds and finding winners for MLB picks on teams that set up to be trending positively. Let’s see who those teams could be on the upswing.

St. Louis Cardinals (28-23, -2 units)
Rather quietly, St. Louis has been moving in the right direction and is in the Top 9 in run differential the last 12 days.

MLB baseball handicappers like me expect this trend to continue and here is why. Let’s start with run prevention, where the Cardinals are third in baseball at 3.4 per game, with its starting pitchers third in ERA and fourth in on-base percentage. These hurlers do not beat themselves, ranked third in strikeout-to-walk ratio, which limits opponents chances to score and they are also No.3 in home runs surrendered.

While the Cards offense is nowhere near what it’s been in the past few seasons, there has been a general improvement thanks to tinkering by manager Mike Matheny. Here we find Methany has convinced Kelton Wong and Peter Bourjos in particular to bunt more and slap at the ball to utilize their speed and overall the Redbirds have been more aggressive on the base paths, generating ways to score.

While the offense is still in the lower half of scoring, this more competitive approach backed with St. Louis’ pitching, should have them beating the MLB odds with greater regularity.

Seattle Mariners (25-25, -0.6)
On the surface, this does not appear to be a wise choice but hang with me. The Mariners are a .500 team and are just starting to see enjoy their fruits of having Hisashi Iwakuma and Felix Hernandez at the top of the rotation.

Robinson Cano has been the ultimate professional as a hitter and fielder, but even he just has two home runs. And while the former Yankee is doing his job, the rest of his teammates on the lineup card are not, with Seattle last in on-base percentage and 14th in batting average in the American League.

The M’s are in the middle of homestand and will be either underdogs or modest favorites depending on the pitching matchups against the L.A.A. Angels and Detroit, which could lend to them being profitable, if their underachieving younger players begin to come through. This will be followed by East Coast trip to Atlanta and Tampa and as we have witnessed, neither of those clubs are offensive juggernauts either and Seattle is +3.6 units on the road this season.

The basic situation is advantageous to profit with the Mariners.

New York Mets (11-11, +3.6) Road Only
New York appears run of the mill as ever and sportsbooks are not going to be offering them respect because they are from the Big Apple.

However, this Thursday, the Mets embark on an 11-game 11-day road trip, which will take them to Philadelphia, Chicago and San Francisco.

New York is .500 in away outings but has delivered +3.6 units of profit to backers in this role. The first two stops will provide ample opportunity for wins with neither the Phillies nor the Cubs considered dangerous and depending on how the starting pitching matches up, New York might just need one victory in Frisco to break even or show a profit.

If Bartolo Colon and Zack Wheeler pitch to past results, there is every reason to believe the Metropolitans will be a solid road play ahead.

comment here