MLB Picks: Under Radar Game Has Plus Money Value Betting A's vs. Mariners

Charles Stark

Sunday, September 6, 2015 11:52 AM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 6, 2015 11:52 AM UTC

With both these teams out of the playoffs I think there is good value today on taking the Oakland Athletics versus the Seattle Mariners on the plus money line.

MLB odds
MLB odds makers came out with Seattle at around -140 favorite making the A's a +130 underdog. That line has changed a little bit and some value has dropped on the A's a bit. Right now the best price in the MLB odds market for taking Oakland is at +120 at Pinnacle Sports. To me they are really live dog in this spot and any kind of plus money value is fine with me.


Seattle Mariners
Hisashi Iwakuma takes the mound for Seattle with a 4.22 ERA, 1.09 whip, 74 strikeouts, and a 6-3 record. He has been really solid on the road this season with a ERA around 3.00. Also, he is one of my favorite pitchers in the league but this is a little too much value on him and the Mariners today. Since his no-hitter against Baltimore on August 12 he's allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts. One of those starts was to this same Oakland team in Seattle where he allowed seven earned runs in just four innings. Although normally I would say this puts him in a bounce back spot against them today, this game is meaningless which lessens that type of angle in my opinion. The A's should be able to do some damage against him today.

Seattle ranks 25th in the major leagues in runs scored per game at 3.99, 16th in OPS at .718, and 25th in batting average hitting .248 as a team. They have really underachieved this season and I don't anticipate them to do much at the plate today. For the most part they do hit left-handers well and in their last few games they have scored above their average. Don't look for that to continue today.


Oakland Athletics
Felix Doubront takes the mound for the A's with a 3.99 ERA, 1.48 whip, 35 strikeouts, and a 2-1 record. In his last 10 starts he has been pretty solid on the mound with only one rough outing in Kansas City where he allowed five earned runs in five innings. He had the same matchup against Iwakuma a couple weeks ago in Seattle and he pitched decent in just two innings allowing zero earned runs but having to leave because of a bruised foot. Overall he has pitched well for Oakland and I look for him to continue that today.

Oakland ranks 16th in runs scored per game at 4.17, 22nd in OPS at .704, and 14th in batting average hitting .254 as a team. All their offensive statistics go up in Oakland and they are arguably the best team in the major leagues out of teams with under 60 wins. Actually, it is hard to argue against the fact they are probably one of the top three teams in the major leagues with a losing record being that they still have a positive run differential. They should come into this game with a lot of confidence at home against a pitcher in which they have some nice plate appearances recently.


Final Analysis
This is the epitome of an under the radar game that nobody really cares about. That's fine with me because there still some good value to be had in a game like this with no playoff implications. Grab the plus money line in this spot for one of your MLB picks and look for the A's to pull off the minor upset.


MLB Pick: Athletics +120 at Bet365

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