MLB Picks: 'Under' is a Lock as Price & Santiago Duel in Anaheim

Charles Stark

Friday, August 21, 2015 11:56 AM UTC

Friday, Aug. 21, 2015 11:56 AM UTC

Although the Toronto Blue Jays can be terrifying at the plate, I think their bats will be a bit tempered today, and I don't for see Los Angeles faring much better. Betting 'under' is the way to go today.

In arguably the most intriguing matchup of the day I'm going to back under the total as the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Los Angeles Angels. This is an important matchup for both teams and I like for both starters to dominate the day. Odds makers also set this line pretty low and I believe that's what they also anticipate.


Friday's MLB Odds
MLB odds makers set this line pretty low at 7 and that's where it is right now across the board. The juice is a little bit higher on over that total so you can get some good value on taking the under. At Bookmaker sports book you can get under the total of seven at +102, if this line moves anywhere most likely it will go up to 7.5, so you might want to wait until first pitch to get a little better number value.


Toronto Blue Jays
David Price take the mound for the Blue Jays with a 2.41 ERA, 1.09 whip, 162 strikeouts, and 11-4 record. He has been stellar this whole season and on the road his combined numbers with Detroit and Toronto are a solid 1.93 ERA and 1.07 whip. He is coming off kind of a rough outing against the Yankees where he allowed three runs off of 11 hits in seven innings, definitely not bad though. He should continue his solid pitching today against the Angels.

Toronto ranks first in runs per game at 5.24, first in OPS at .768, and eighth in batting average hitting .260. They are arguably the best offense in the major leagues, but all their major statistics go down on the road. Their average drops from .260 to .246, their runs per game drop below five, and there OPS to .715. Granted these are all still pretty decent numbers but they are different monster away from Toronto.


Los Angeles Angels
Angels ace Hector Santiago gets the start with a 2.86 ERA, 1.15 whip, 131 strikeout, and a 7-6 record. At home his numbers are a bit better with a 2.61 ERA and 1.14 whip. In his last three home starts he has given up seven earned runs in his last 16 innings. He has been steady for the Angels all season, and although I don't see him completely shutting down Toronto, he should keep them down enough to get us under this total. Any pitcher facing the Blue Jays this season I'm sure gets a little extra motivated against such a strong hitting team, look for Santiago to have a quality start.

At the plate the Angels rank 17th in runs scored per game at 4.06, 22nd in OPS at .698, and 25th in team batting average hitting .244. They have some talent in that lineup, at least that's what I've been saying all season, but for some reason sometimes they can really struggle on the offensive end. Against Price today they might be of the get a couple but I don't see them having a lot of quality at-bats against him.

This should be an excellent game between two of the American League's best pitchers, and both of the teams aces. There is quite a statistic difference between these offenses but I don't see either of them putting together a lot of runs in this contest. This should be a low-scoring final of around 2-1 and I will back the under as part of my Friday MLB Picks.

MLB Picks: Under 7

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