MLB Picks: Twins vs. Tigers Tuesday Night

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, April 30, 2013 12:31 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 30, 2013 12:31 PM UTC

The Detroit Tigers have won 10 of Justin Verlander’s last 11 starts versus the Minnesota Twins, as the two teams continue a three-game series Tuesday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League Central affair at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Also take a look at my free picks for the matchup between the Phillies vs. Indians.

Coming up short

Minnesota jumped out to an early lead Monday night, but ultimately suffered a 4-3 setback as +213 road underdogs, while going UNDER the total for the fourth time in five contests. 

The Twins are 1-13 in their last 14 games as an underdog of +200 or higher, while the UNDER is 7-5-2 in that situation. 

Getting it done at home 

Detroit 14-10 overall through 24 games, with nine of those wins coming in front of its fans, while the OVER is 10-1-1 at this ballpark.   

The Tigers are 16-9 as home favorites of -200 or more over the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 14-10-1 in those 25 opportunities.


Twins starting pitcher Vance Worley (0-3, 6.38 ERA) is coming off a 2-1 home defeat to the Texas Rangers, as he allowed two runs and six hits over five frames, issuing two walks and striking out three batters. 

The right-hander is 0-6 with a 6.56 ERA in 10 starts since he last picked up a victory on Aug. 1 of last season during his time with the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Worley suffered a 4-2 loss to the Tigers in his first career outing against them on April 1, surrendering three runs on eight hits over six innings.


Tigers starting pitcher Justin Verlander (2-2, 1.95 ERA) has watched the club drop three of his five outings in the early going, including a 8-3 home defeat to the Kansas City Royals last time out, as he didn’t earn a decision in allowing two runs (one earned) over seven innings. 

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 2.51 ERA in two home starts, with opposing hitters batting .273 against him.  It’s important to note that he limited foes to a .192 and .217 average in 2011 and 2012 respectively. 

In 24 career starts versus the Twins, Verlander has tallied a 13-7 record and 3.11 ERA, including a 8-0 mark and 1.71 ERA in his last nine efforts in this AL Central series.



When it comes to placing our MLB picks, I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tigers in the first five innings Tuesday night, as Verlander’s been dealing with a finger issue that could present a problem as the game goes along, while their bullpen can’t be trusted at this type of number right now.

I’d love to take a shot with the Twins in this spot, but catcher Joe Mauer’s in the midst of a 0-for-20 slide at the plate—his longest hitless streak of his career. 

MLB Pick:  Detroit Tigers -250 First Five Innings at BetOnline
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