MLB Picks: Twins vs. Tigers Tuesday Night

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, April 30, 2013 12:31 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers have won 10 of Justin Verlander’s last 11 starts versus the Minnesota Twins, as the two teams continue a three-game series Tuesday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League Central affair at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Also take a look at my free picks for the matchup between the Phillies vs. Indians.

Coming up short

Minnesota jumped out to an early lead Monday night, but ultimately suffered a 4-3 setback as +213 road underdogs, while going UNDER the total for the fourth time in five contests. 

The Twins are 1-13 in their last 14 games as an underdog of +200 or higher, while the UNDER is 7-5-2 in that situation. 

Getting it done at home 

Detroit 14-10 overall through 24 games, with nine of those wins coming in front of its fans, while the OVER is 10-1-1 at this ballpark.   

The Tigers are 16-9 as home favorites of -200 or more over the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 14-10-1 in those 25 opportunities.

Worley 

Twins starting pitcher Vance Worley (0-3, 6.38 ERA) is coming off a 2-1 home defeat to the Texas Rangers, as he allowed two runs and six hits over five frames, issuing two walks and striking out three batters. 

The right-hander is 0-6 with a 6.56 ERA in 10 starts since he last picked up a victory on Aug. 1 of last season during his time with the Philadelphia Phillies. 

Worley suffered a 4-2 loss to the Tigers in his first career outing against them on April 1, surrendering three runs on eight hits over six innings.

Verlander

Tigers starting pitcher Justin Verlander (2-2, 1.95 ERA) has watched the club drop three of his five outings in the early going, including a 8-3 home defeat to the Kansas City Royals last time out, as he didn’t earn a decision in allowing two runs (one earned) over seven innings. 

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 2.51 ERA in two home starts, with opposing hitters batting .273 against him.  It’s important to note that he limited foes to a .192 and .217 average in 2011 and 2012 respectively. 

In 24 career starts versus the Twins, Verlander has tallied a 13-7 record and 3.11 ERA, including a 8-0 mark and 1.71 ERA in his last nine efforts in this AL Central series.

[gameodds]3/225883/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

When it comes to placing our MLB picks, I’m going to recommend that readers back the Tigers in the first five innings Tuesday night, as Verlander’s been dealing with a finger issue that could present a problem as the game goes along, while their bullpen can’t be trusted at this type of number right now.

I’d love to take a shot with the Twins in this spot, but catcher Joe Mauer’s in the midst of a 0-for-20 slide at the plate—his longest hitless streak of his career. 

MLB Pick:  Detroit Tigers -250 First Five Innings at BetOnline