MLB Picks: Twins vs. Red Sox

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 8, 2013 1:56 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 8, 2013 1:56 PM GMT

Two young pitchers will face off on national television Wednesday night, as the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins continue a four-game series.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this American League matchup at Fenway Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at our Daily MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Almost home 

Minnesota is 3-5 on its current 10-game road trip, as it comes off a 6-1 victory over Boston as +160 underdogs Tuesday, while going UNDER the betting total of 9. 

The Twins are 23-38 in May the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 30-26-5 in that situation.

Flattening out 

Boston still owns the best overall record in baseball at 21-12, but it has split its last 10 games, which has allowed the Baltimore Orioles to close within a game of first place in the American League East standings

The Red Sox are 15-4 against teams with a losing record during the 2013 MLB campaign, with the OVER going 11-7-1 in those 19 opportunities. 

Hernandez 

Twins starting pitcher Pedro Hernandez (1-0, 3.92 ERA) will be making his sixth appearance (fourth start) of the season, as he comes off a no-decision effort in a 7-6 road loss to the Cleveland Indians, allowing five runs and eight hits over 5.1 innings. 

The left-hander has yet to earn a decision in two road efforts, but has compiled a disappointing 6.97 ERA, issuing seven walks and striking out five batters in 10.1 combined frames. 

Hernandez suffered a 10-1 road loss to the Red Sox in his only start against them on July 18 of last season, as he surrendered eight runs and 12 hits over four innings of work.

Webster 

Red Sox starting pitcher Allen Webster (0-0, 3.00 ERA) will be making just his second appearance as a professional, as he didn’t earn a decision in a 5-4 road loss to the Kansas City Royals on April 21, allowing three runs (two earned) and five hits over six innings. 

The right-hander’s average fastball velocity was 95 miles-per-hour in that effort, with catcher David Ross keeping things simple for the youngster.

In 20 innings with Triple-A Pawtucket, Webster compiled a 2.70 ERA by allowing just a single home run and striking out 26 batters. 

[gameodds]3/226266/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Wednesday, as both pitchers may struggle with the strike zone, as the OVER is 5-1 in umpire Ed Hickox’ six home plate assignments. 

It’s important to note that the weather forecasts suggests a 70 percent chance of thunderstorms throughout the game. 

MLB Pick:  Over 5 First Five Innings at Pinnacle

comment here