MLB Picks: Tough Spot For Braves As Nationals' Strasburg Hits The Mound

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, April 13, 2016 1:51 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 13, 2016 1:51 PM GMT

Strasburg steps up to the mound and will face Braves & Wisler in Tuesday's night game. This is Wisler's first outing this season and the MLB odds have him as the fav.

Atlanta Braves (Wisler) vs. Washington Nationals (Strasburg)
The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals continue their 4-game early week set, when they take the field at Nationals Park for a first pitch scheduled for 7:05 ET.  After Washington won the Monday night game (6-4), the Nationals were leading (2-0) going to the 9th inning last night.  It seemed nearly a foregone conclusion that with 2 outs in the top of the 9th, that the Braves (winless for the season) would have little hope of scoring.  

But, a 2-out walk followed by a Kelly Johnson RBI double made it a 1 run game, before Mallex Smith struck out to end the contest.  Unfortunately, that “meaningless” run precluded us from covering the run line in the contest.  Nonetheless, it was the 12th straight victory for Washington over Atlanta at Nationals Park and 18th in the last 22 over all matchups between these 2 clubs.

Again last night, Atlanta’s impotent offense was nowhere to be found.  They came up with just 6 hits in the (2-1) loss and remained with a sub-.300 slugging average, a nearly unfathomable number!  Tonight, Atlanta sends Wisler to the mound.  In his first outing this season, Wisler allowed 4 runs in 6 2/3 IP in a (7-4) loss to the Cardinals.  

Last year, Wisler was 2-2 in 4 starts vs. Washington.  That included 0-2 from this mound, where he allowed 11 earned runs and 14 hits in only 5 2/3 IP.  That certainly does not portend well for the Atlanta hopes of recording their first victory of the season or snapping the 13-game series site win streak of Washington.  That is especially true considering tonight’s mound opponent.

Washington sends Stephen Strasburg to the mound, who looks to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2015, in which he was limited to just 23 starts.  In his first game of this season vs. these Braves in Atlanta, Strasburg limited Atlanta to 6 singles and just 1 run in a (3-1) victory.  That was a continuation of Strasburg’s late-season dominance of 2015, when in his final 10 starts of the season, he posted a 1.90 ERA.  Strasburg has allowed just 1 run in 24 IP in winning 4 consecutive starts against the Braves.  There is a good chance that continues tonightagainst an Atlanta offense, which is batting just .203 with a .291 slugging percentage.

 

Betting Analysis
We gladly lay the runs in this matchup knowing that 77 of 95 losses last year for Atlanta were by 2 or more runs, and that 5 of 7 losses this year have been by 2 or more runs.  For Washington, 35 of 46 home victories last year were by 2 or more runs.  Lay the runs with this series dominator in a game that features dichotomous momentum for each team.

I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Washington Nationals tonight.

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***No Play Due to Pitcher Change

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