MLB Picks: Toronto Blue Jays To Defeat Cleveland Indians In ALCS Game 5

There is a good sized crowd of Jays fans at their games

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, October 19, 2016 5:24 PM GMT

They live to fight another day as the Toronto Blue Jays, who are down 3-1, in their ALCS series to Cleveland, extend the series to a Game 5 and look to build upon their newly found momentum. The question is if Toronto is good value? Let's take a look at our MLB pick for today.

 

According to 5Dimes Sportsbook, the Blue Jays are a -178 betting favorite and the total for the game is listed at 8 1/2. While the Blue Jays are the heavy chalk, the Tribe have no business sending out a pitcher with relatively no major league experience in a spot like this. Of course, if Merritt gets in trouble, Cleveland will immediately have the bullpen warming up, but if you're a Toronto fan or bettor, you have to like this matchup that would put the Blue Jays back in this series.

 

Time For Toronto Bats To Wake Up

While starter Marco Estrada is no Aaron Sanchez, he's pitched quite well in his two starts in the playoffs, but came away with a loss in his last start due to no run support. In the playoffs, Estrada has pitched 16 1/2 innings and has allowed 3 runs on 10 hits and has shown pinpoint control. I look for him to pitch well this afternoon as Cleveland has dominated this postseason and was finally shook up in Toronto's 5-1 win on Wednesday.

In their lone victory of the series, Josh Donaldson hit his first home run and has really been one of the only players on this roster that's been hitting well. In the postseason, Donaldson is 14 for 32 (.438) with 6 doubles, 1 HR and 5 RBI. As for the rest of the squad, they hit well in their series against Texas, but have gone cold against Cleveland.

Jose Bautista is 1 of 14 in this series. Troy Tulowitzki is 2 for 14, Kevin Pillar is 1 for 14, and Russell Martin is 1 for 14. When it comes down to it, production such as this, no matter how good the pitching is, will inevitably lead to losses. I look for Toronto's offense to take advantage of the pitching matchup as they know that their backs are against the wall where the season is concerned.

 Cleveland In Command?

When a team stifles a Red Sox team that has overpowered teams all season long with their offense and swept the BoSox, that speaks volumes, Cleveland has now come into a series against a Toronto offense, which is very powerful and has also stifled the Blue Jays bats.Cleveland has 3 opportunities to put Toronto away and might feel like they're playing with house money in a game 5 as they know they have their axes waiting in case this series is extended.

While Ryan Merritt hasn't seen much Major League action, the Blue Jays pitching must still find a way to put the Cleveland offense in check and that hasn't been a problem in this series. Although Cleveland has won 3 of 4 games in this series, they've only outscored the Blue Jays by a total of 9-8. The Cleveland bats haven't been particularly overpowering in the playoffs. Their pitching has gotten them to this point.

 

Who Will Step Up?

Cleveland's offense in the post-season is somewhat of a mirror image of what they were in the regular season as there's no legitimate superstar on this squad, but they get the job done. While 7 different hitters have gone deep in the postseason for Cleveland, Lonnie Chisenhall is the only player on the team that's hitting.300 or better. In the playoffs, Chisenhall is hitting .318 with 1 HR and 4 RBI's.

This is still a dangerous Cleveland lineup as many players are having a big game, but in game 5, the odds are stacked up against them as indicated in the betting odds for this game. Look for Marco Estrada and the Toronto Blue Jays to extend this series to a game 6, that's our baseball pick.

 

Free MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -179 Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes 
 

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