MLB Picks: Top Totals for Wednesday Backed by Betting Trends

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 2:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 20, 2015 2:40 PM GMT

We have reviewed the MLB odds and have isolated a pair of totals for Wednesday night. Let’s cash big in our MLB picks this evening as we did on Monday when we swept the board.

7:10 PM EDT Cardinals (17-21-1 O/U) vs. Mets (18-18-4 O/U)
We are going back to the same well as we sipped from on Monday night when we correctly predicted the under in the MLB odds total that saw the Mets outduel the Cards 2-1 in the first game of this four-game set. Tonight we have the same teams, same venue but different starters as 23-year-old Carlos Martinez (4.85 ERA, 1.51 WHIP) gets the nod for the Redbirds opposed by the crafty, albeit chubby, veteran Bartolo Colon (3.86 ERA, 1.03 WHIP).

After six consecutive games of averaging just two runs per game the St. Louis bats awoke with a monumental thunder and plated 10 runs last night cruising to a breezy 10-2 victory. Tonight they will face a well-traveled Bartolo Colon who has a career record of 4-0 against them (his teams are 6-0 in his all his starts) to complement a 2.77 ERA and an impressive 0.923 WHIP. Games in which Colon has started against St. Louis have gone under in four of six occurrences.

Carlos Martinez takes the bump for the Cardinals and only gave his club five innings in his last appearance but allowed just two runs on seven hits which was a noticeable improvement over his previous two performances where he was torched for a total of 14 runs on 16 hits in combined efforts against the Cubs and Pirates. Martinez has faced the Mets just once in his career when he twirled for four innings allowing just two hits on no earned runs.

The betting trends between these two are as follows:

11 of 15 games have gone under the posted MLB betting odds total over the past three seasons.

7 of 9 games played in New York have gone under the MLB odds total over the past three seasons.

Setting aside last night’s offensive fireworks by the Cardinals both teams have not been hitting. The Mets are averaging .190 at the plate in this series and have scored only four runs. Colon has owned them during his career while Martinez is a young pitcher with a solid arsenal when he’s in the groove. This one goes low and will be included in our MLB picks for Wednesday night!

MLB Picks: Under 7 (-105) at GTBets

 

7:10 PM EDT Rangers (19-17-3 O/U) vs. Red Sox (18-20-1 O/U)
Many, including this writer, believed the Red Sox would be winning slugfests with all the offensive talent they acquired in the off-season but it hasn’t turned out that way quite yet. The pitching had been abysmal until they fired Juan Nieves their pitching coach who was the easy scapegoat for a season that has seen the Boston starters produce the highest ERA in the league. While Nieves was certainly not the only problem, or even a major problem, a change had to come from somewhere and because it is easier to fire one man than an entire pitching staff the Sox welcomed Carl Willis to mentor the rotation and so far, so good.

But ultimately the Sox will hit because they are too talented not to but their pitching woes will continue because it consists of a bunch of number four starters with an occasional ace in Clay Buchholz when he’s up to the task. Tonight the Rangers will send minor league call-up Phil Klein (7.71 ERA, 1.50 WHIP) to the hill who will be opposed by Hurricane Joe Kelly (5.58 ERA, 1.34 WHIP). I call him Hurricane because this season he has blown big time but in fairness, he did have his best start of the season in his last start against Seattle where he allowed only one run on five hits. Nevertheless, we expect plenty of crooked numbers in this one.

MLB Picks: Play Over 8 ½ (-120) at GTBets.com.

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