MLB Picks: Tigers vs. White Sox Game Analysis & Betting Odds

Ross Benjamin

Monday, August 12, 2013 12:58 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 12, 2013 12:58 PM UTC

The Detroit Tigers travel to Comiskey Park in Chicago to begin a 3-game series versus the White Sox.

For a breakdown of today's games, check out today's Daily Baseball Betting Lines & Odds Report

Detroit comes off a 5-4 road loss to the Yankees on Sunday. Miguel Cabrera (.365/36 HRS/110 RBIS) homered for the 2nd time in 3 days off Mariano Rivera in the 9th and Victor Martinez followed shortly after with a homer of his own to tie the game at 4-4. The Yankees Brett Gardner then proceeded to hit a 2-out walk off home run in the bottom of the 9th of Jose Veras.

Even after losing 2 of 3 at Yankee Stadium, the Tigers still find themselves with a 7.0 game lead over 2nd place Cleveland, and up 7.5 on 3rd place Kansas City in the AL Central. The Tigers enter this series having gone a sizzling 17-3 in their last 20 games overall and are 69-47 on the season.

The Tigers will send right-hander Doug Fister to the mound on Monday night. Fister is 10-5 on the season with a very good 3.50 ERA and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Fister is a red-hot 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an excellent 1.85 ERA.The Chicago White Sox dropped a 5-2 home decision to the Minnesota Twins on Sunday afternoon. The White Sox dropped 3 of the 4 games in the series. The White Sox are now 4-3 on their current 10-game home stand. The one bright spot in yesterday’s loss was Adam Dunn hitting a solo home run in the bottom of the 9th. It was Dunn’s 27th homer on the season to go along with 70 RBI’s. The White Sox enter this series a dismal 44-72 on the season in last place in the AL Central and 25.0 games behind the Tigers. The White Sox have gone a miserable 7-19 in their last 26 games.

Since the start of the 2012 season, Fister is 3-1 in his team starts versus the White Sox with a 3.38 ERA and a very good 1.13 WHIP. Fister has seen 33 of his 49 starts (67.3%) go under the total in night games over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers hurler has also seen 30 of his 39 starts (76.9%) go under the total in the last 3 seasons when facing an opponent that averages 2.75 or less extra base hits per game.

Fister will be facing a White Sox team which is a dismal 33-53 this season versus right-handed starting pitchers. The one glaring weakness on Fister’s resume is the fact he’s just 19-39 in his career team starts on the road.

The White Sox send southpaw Chris Sale to the hill in the opening game of the series. Sale has pitched much better this season than his record indicates going 7-11 with a stellar 2.83 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP, and a better than 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Sale has been very good at Comiskey Park this year, going 6-4 in his team starts with a 2.18 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP. In his last 4 starts overall, Sale has posted a rock solid 2.76 ERA. Sale hasn’t had a lot of success versus the Tigers in his still young career going 1-4 in his team starts with a lofty 4.68 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Sale has seen 14 of his 18 starts (77.8%) go under the total after giving up 1 earned run or less in his previous start. He will be facing a Detroit team which is 18-13 this season versus southpaw starters.

The Tigers are 7-3 this season versus the White Sox including 3-1 at Comiskey Park. Detroit has dominated their division rivals from Chicago going 32-14 overall in the last 3 seasons. The White Sox are a horrible 13-33 versus division opponents this season. These are clearly 2 teams headed in polar opposite directions, and the MLB odds reflect that. With all considered, and how cheap a money line price we’re getting on the favorite, I have a strong lean on the Detroit Tigers in this one for my MLB Picks.


MLB Pick: Bet Detroit -115 on the money line, at Bet365

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