MLB Picks: Tigers vs. Red Sox Betting Odds Analysis

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, September 4, 2013 3:24 PM GMT

Two of the top teams in the American League battle it out at Fenway Park in the divisional leading Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers and it’s sure to be a good one. See who we side with in this battle of two titans.

Check out Wednesday's Baseball Betting Odds & Lines Report for a breakdown of today's games!

First pitch is set for tonight at 7:10 p.m. ET, Wednesday, in Boston, Massachusetts. This game can be seen on MLB TV and ESPN.

According to the MLB odds, Boston is a lukewarm -115 sports betting favorite and the total for the game is an even 10.

High Betting Total

The high total is due to the lack of quality pitching on both sides as Ryan Dempster (7-9, 4.75) squares off against Rick Porcello (11-7, 4.44). Both of these teams are possess two of the best offenses in the majors and we could see a lot of runs scored tonight.

Boston is coming off of a big 2-1 victory over Detroit as Max Scherzer suffered just his 2nd loss in 21 decisions. Miguel Cabrera is back; can we see Detroit turn the tables on the BoSox tonight?

Miguel Cabrera

Superstar Miguel Cabrera’s quest for a 2nd consecutive triple-crown looks to be derailed due to injuries. Cabrera could barely run around the bases and then came up with an abdominal injury. He’s the type of player to play under any circumstance, therefore if Miggy is out of the lineup for any period of time, there’s a lot of pain involved. Cabrera was a non-contributor yesterday as he went 0-for-4 against Boston. We should keep an eye on the best player in the game.

The injuries have already affected his ability to run around the bases, leaving the Tigers with missed scoring opportunities, but the abdominal recovery could affect his hitting. Cabrera is batting .355 on the season with 43 HR and 130 RBI.

“The Pitcher That Hit Arod”

A lot of people will recognize Ryan Dempster as an average major league pitcher while others remember him as the goon who took 4 pitches to hit Alex Rodriguez in making a point that he doesn’t want Alex on the field.

Hopefully for Dempster, the outcome will be much better in this game with Cabrera not at 100%. The Tigers have more than a solid 1-2 punch in Austin Jackson and Torii Hunter, but Prince Fielder has had a disappointing season and is less of a threat to opposing pitchers.

Dempster has been inconsistent all season, but is coming off of a victory against the lowly Chicago White Sox. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits in 6 1/3 innings and that’s just about what you should see in a spot like this if “he’s right”.

Trends

  • Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Tigers are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a right-hander.
  • Red Sox are 7-1 in Dempsters’ last 8 starts.
  • Under is 11-1-1 in the Red Sox last 13 starts vs. a right-hander.

Outcome

One trend that really sticks out is the Red Sox’s ability to get the job done even with Dempster on the mound. Boston has tons of momentum and I don’t think that Miguel Cabrera can lead the Tigers in a proper manner at the moment. For your MLB picks, look for Boston to come away with a “W” as they can smell the American League East Division title.

MLB Pick: Bet the BoSox -115 on the money line at Bet365

Share your betting picks on our Major League Baseball message board!