MLB Picks: Tigers vs. Red Sox ALCS Game 6

Jeff Grant

Saturday, October 19, 2013 1:20 PM GMT

Saturday, Oct. 19, 2013 1:20 PM GMT

The Boston Red Sox land in a perfect historical situation Saturday night, as they attempt to close out their best-of-seven series against the Detroit Tigers. Which squad are the MLB odds favoring in tonight's matchup?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for Game 6 of the 2013 ALCS at Fenway Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:07 p.m. ET on FOX.

Some work to do

Detroit will try to overcome a 3-2 deficit in this best-of-seven series, as it dropped two of three home games, including a 4-3 setback as -116 favorites in Game 5 Thursday.

The Tigers are 6-6 against the Red Sox dating back to the start of the 2013 regular season—outscoring them by a 57-51 combined margin.

MLB handicappers will find that the Tigers have won five of their last six playoff games as underdogs.

Game 6

Boston enters with a 9-3 all-time record when playing the sixth game of a postseason series, including a perfect 5-0 mark at home.

The Red Sox own the American League’s best regular season record against the Tigers since 2008—compiling a 27-16 mark over that span. 

In a game that figures to be decided by relief pitchers, it’s important to point out that Boston has a 0.53 bullpen ERA through the first five games of this matchup.

Scherzer 

Tigers starting pitcher Max Scherzer (0-0, 1.29 ERA) will be making his fourth postseason appearance in 2013, as he allowed a single run and two hits over seven frames in a no-decision effort in his first outing in this series.

The right-hander went 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA in 16 road games during the regular season, with opposing hitters batting .177 against him. 

Buchholz

Red Sox starting pitcher Clay Buchholz (0-0, 7.94 ERA) hasn’t earned a decision in the playoffs, as he’s allowed eight runs and 15 hits over 11.2 innings of work. 

The right-hander went 6-1 with a 1.99 ERA in nine home starts during the regular season, surrendering zero home runs in 63.1 combined frames. 

Buchholz allowed five runs and eight hits over 5.2 innings in facing the Tigers in Game 2 of this series Sunday.

[gameodds]3/247272/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox with their MLB picks, as they’ve won Buchholz’ last four home starts against the Tigers.

MLB Pick:  Boston Red Sox -120

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