MLB Picks: Tigers vs. Rangers

Joe Freda

Friday, May 17, 2013 4:21 PM UTC

Friday, May. 17, 2013 4:21 PM UTC

Game 3: Tonight marks the second game of a big set between the Texas Rangers and the loaded Detroit Tigers.Will Texas (7-1)stay hot here, or does Detroit have value?

Friday’s MLB betting has the Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers continuing their four-game set in Arlington. Both clubs send right-handed starters to the hill, with Texas’ Nick Tepesch (3-3, 4.03 ERA) opposing Detroit’s Rick Porcello (1-2 6.68 ERA).

Sunday's Game 4

By: Joe Freda

Sunday night’s finale between the Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers has MLB odds makers listing the affair as a close contest. Rangers left-hander Derek Holland (3-2, 2.93 ERA) is slated to face Tigers righty Doug Fister (5-1, 3.06 ERA), following a 2-1 mark for Texas in the series’ first three games. 

Rangers, Andrus cash as dogs

Texas jumped out to a 4-0 lead in Saturday’s 7-2 victory over Detroit, collecting as a 116 home dog. Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus went 5-for-5 from the leadoff spot, uniting with mate Lance Berkman for four RBIs.

Detroit’s Torii Hunter poked a double as part of a 2-for-4 night, while first baseman Prince Fielder drove in one run batting cleanup. The matchup’s nine runs ducked UNDER the ‘total’ of 9 ½, despite a combined 20 hits from both clubs. 

Don't forget to view my CLeveland vs. Seattle picks!

Holland leaves early in Oakland

Holland picked up a no-decision in Tuesday’s 6-5 win for Texas as a 114 road favorite against the Oakland Athletics. The 26-year-old departed after 5 2/3 innings, giving up four runs on eight hits.

Texas’ Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre both cracked solo shot homers in the 10th frame, giving their side a 6-4 lead. Rangers relievers Tanner Scheppers and Joe Nathan came away with the staff’s win and save, respectively, allowing one hit over the battle’s final three innings. 

Fister stingy at home

Fister notched his first win in three starts on the same night’s card with Detroit’s 6-2 victory against the Houston Astros. The California native allowed two runs over seven innings, collecting as a 295 home favorite. 

Tigers sluggers Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez united to hit 4-for-7, including a homer and double from Cabrera. Detroit finished with 10 hits, while the battle’s eight runs stayed a ‘hook’ UNDER the ‘total’ of 8 ½. 

Get Steven Suarez' Betting Lines Report for Sunday, right here!


Back Texas as a short fave 

Bet365 opened Holland as a 112 home favorite, while early wagers on Texas lifted the ‘juice’ to 117. The ‘total’ was first set at nine, with initial OVER action moving its premium to minus 125.

I agree with the early ‘steam’ and am backing Texas in this finale, laying the short MLB odds.

Holland has been stingy at home with a 0.96 WHIP and .250 OBP against his share of solid lineups. Texas has cashed at 2-1 over the span’s three starts, with the fifth-year hurler giving up just one homer in 23 IP.

Texas is 4-0 in Holland’s last four starts against the Tigers, including a cashed ticket in last August’s most recent duel. Holland held Detroit to one run over 7 2/3 IP, giving up three hits en route to nine strikeouts.

Fister has not fared as well on the road, giving up a sizable 1.35 WHIP and .343 OBP over four outings. Rangers outfielder David Murphy has four homers in 18 at-bat’s facing Fister, uniting with mate Nelson Cruz for a combined 15-for-34 career mark.

Detroit is 3-7 in its last 10 matchups against left-handed starters, while going 1-6 in its last seven spots that came after a contest of scoring two runs or less. Look for another losing ticket in this spot, with Texas lighting it up in this spot at a low premium.

Free Pick: Texas Rangers -117 at Bet 365


Saturday's Game Three

By: Joe Freda


The Detroit Tigers logged a 2-1 victory over the Texas Rangers in Friday’s MLB betting, evening the weekend set as 114 road dogs. Saturday night’s rematch has a pair of right-handed hurlers squaring off, with Texas’ Justin Grimm (2-3, 4.28 ERA) facing Detroit’s Anibal Sanchez (4-3, 2.05 ERA).

Tigers, Cabrera hold off Rangers

Friday’s duel saw Tigers mates Miguel Cabrera and Alex Avila drive in one run each, with Cabrera poking a double as part of a 3-for-4 night. Detroit’s Jose Valverde notched his fourth save, allowing no hits in the final frame.

Texas’ Geovany Soto drilled a solo-shot homer, adding to his long ball from Thursday’s opener. Rangers sluggers Lance Berkman and Adrian Beltre united to hit 4-for-7, while the battle’s three runs plunged UNDER the ‘total’ of 10 ½.

Grimm shelled in Oakland

Grimm logged a third straight loss in Monday’s 5-1 defeat for Texas as a 111 road dog to the Oakland Athletics. The 24-year-old gave up all five of Oakland’s runs, allowing two homers as part of seven hits.

Rangers first baseman Mitch Moreland cracked his seventh homer in a 1-for-3 night. Berkman was held to 0-for-4, while Soto struck out twice in three plate trips. Texas’ Joe Ortiz and Jason Frasor combined for three frames of relief, allowing one hit en route to four strikeouts.

Sanchez stingy as ‘chalk’

Sanchez ended a skid of two losses with Monday’s 7-2 win for Detroit over the Houston Astros, cashing as a hefty 305 home favorite. The Venezuela native allowed two runs on six hits, while tossing eight strikeouts over seven innings.

Tigers outfielder Andy Dirks poked a homer and double, finishing 3-for-4 from the lineup’s leadoff spot. Detroit’s Victor Martinez drove in two runs, while shortstop Jhonny Peralta logged a 2-for-3 night.

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Back the OVER on Saturday

Pinnacle Sports opened Sanchez as a 132 road favorite, with early wagers on Texas dropping the premium to 123. The ‘total’ was first set at 9 ½, with a minus 116 lean to the OVER.

I am agreeing with the betting odds makers, adding a ticket on the OVER to the night’s card.

Grimm enters the contest with a sizable 1.34 WHIP at home, while facing a Tigers’ lineup that roughed up the Tennessee native last June. Detroit hung six runs on Grimm in the first inning of that affair, including a pair of RBIs from Miguel Cabrera in a 2-for-2 night.


Sanchez faces quite a few of familiar bats in Texas’ lineup, which could lead to some early runs. Rangers mates Geovany Soto and Lance Berkman have united to hit 10-for-23 lifetime, including four extra-base hits. Nelson Cruz has belted one homer in just two at-bat’s against Sanchez, while Adrian Beltre is 2-for-3 in his career.

The OVER is 8-2 in Detroit’s last 10 spots that came after scoring two runs or less in their previous game, while going 7-2 in the Tigers’ last nine matchups against a starter with a 1.30 WHIP or more. Look for the OVER to get the money again here, adding to the 12-4 mark for the wager in umpire Mike Muchlinski’s last 16 called games.

MLB Pick: OVER 9 ½ at Bet 365


Friday's Game Two

By: Joe Freda


Rangers, Moreland cruise in opener

Texas jumped out to an early 8-3 lead in Thursday’s opener, holding on for a 10-4 victory as a 114 home favorite. Rangers first baseman Mitch Moreland poked a pair of doubles as part of a 2-for-4 night, finishing with three RBIs.

Texas’ Nelson Cruz and Geovany Soto each cracked one homer, while Tigers mates Jhonny Peralta and Don Kelly both launched long balls. Detroit was edged out in hits, 10-7, with sluggers Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder held to a combined 2-for-7.

Tepesch ends skid in Houston

Tepesch notched his first win in three starts with Sunday’s 12-7 triumph for Texas over the Houston Astros, cashing as a 139 betting odds favorite on the road. The rookie held Houston to one run over six innings, while logging eight strikeouts.

Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre hit one of his side’s three homers, while adding a pair of doubles in a 4-for-5 day. Texas’ lineup poked 17 hits, while the battle’s 19 combined runs soared above the ‘total’ of nine.

Porcello, Tigers fall short at home

Porcello picked up a second straight no-decision on the same day’s card, with Detroit losing as 148 home ‘chalk’ to the Cleveland Indians. The 24-year-old allowed two runs on four hits, lasting six innings.

Tigers reliever Jose Valverde logged a blown save to send the matchup into an extra frame. Detroit’s Darin Downs notched the staff’s loss, while the duel’s seven runs dipped UNDER the ‘total’ of nine. 

Back Texas to cash as ‘chalk’ again

Bet365 opened Tepesch as a 114 home favorite, with early wagers lifting the premium to 125. The ‘total’ was first set at 10, while early betting action added a minus 120 lean to the OVER.

I am agreeing with the early ‘steam’ here, adding a ticket on Texas to Friday’s sports picks.

Texas moved to 5-1 in its last six matchups against right-handed starters with Thursday’s win, while likely having even more chances facing Porcello here. Rangers mates Geovany Soto and David Murphy have hit a combined 9-for-17 against the New Jersey native, with one homer each as part of the span.

Detroit dropped to 2-5 in its last seven spots as a road dog, while Porcello has given up a .348 OBP and 1.53 WHIP over his four road starts. Porcello’s stretch away from home has included surrendering five homers in just 15 IP, while still in search of a win on opposing fields with a 0-2 mark.

Texas is 6-2 in its last eight dates at Rangers Ballpark as a favorite of 150 or less, while cashing at 2-1 in Tepesch’s three home starts. Look for Ron Washington’s club to get the money again here.

Free Picks: Texas Rangers -125 at BET 365


Also, check out the SBR Picks of the Day by Joe Catalano~
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