MLB Picks: Tigers vs. Rangers will likely go Over again

Jeff Grant

Thursday, June 26, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

Thursday, Jun. 26, 2014 1:15 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers have put things together offensively over the last week, which will lead to another high-scoring affair against the Texas Rangers Thursday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup at Globe Life Park in Arlington, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET.

Streaking—in a good way
Detroit has won its last six games, including an 8-6 victory over Texas as -135 road favorites Wednesday, while going OVER the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest.

The Tigers continue to be led by designated hitter Victor Martinez at the dish, as he’s hit 20 home runs on the season, as they attempt to sweep back-to-back series for the first time since May 12-18.

It’s important to point out that the squad is 5-8 as road favorites of -125 to -150 this season, with the OVER going 7-4-2 in that situation.


A slippery slope
Texas is seven games under .500 for the first time since Sept. 22, 2008, as it attempts to avoid its longest losing streak since Aug. 2005.

The Rangers have dropped nine of 10 games as home underdogs of +100 to +125 during the 2014 campaign, but third baseman Adrian Beltre provides them a glimmer of hope, hitting .405 over his last 20, and he’s 8 for 19 in his career versus tonight’s opposing starter.

Over the last two-plus seasons,the franchise is 26-11 at home with a betting total of 10 to 10.5.


Porcello
Tigers starting pitcher Rick Porcello (9-4, 3.76 ERA) tallied a 6-4 road victory over the Cleveland Indians last time out, as he scattered six hits in six shutout innings.

The right-hander is 6-2 with a 3.67 ERA in eight road games—serving up six home runs in 49 combined frames.

In seven lifetime efforts versus the Rangers, Porcello has garnered a 3-4 record and 7.41 ERA, with all three wins coming at this ballpark.


Martinez
Rangers starting pitcher Nick Martinez (1-4, 4.22 ERA) owns each of the last two quality outings by the club’s rotation, posting a 0-1 record and 2.77 ERA in that stretch.

The right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in five home appearances (three starts), with opposing hitters batting .315 against him.

Martinez tallied his first-ever MLB win in a 12-2 road victory over the Tigers on May 24, as he surrendered a single run and eight hits over six frames.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the OVER is 9-2 in the Rangers’ last 11 home games.
Pick:  Over 9.5 Runs

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