MLB Picks: Tigers vs. Cubs Matchup Screams 'Over' at Wrigley Field

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, August 19, 2015 2:13 PM GMT

We’re going to examine Wednesday’s MLB game between the Tigers and Cubs. Does Detroit have one final push left in order to make an improbable run at a playoff spot? 

Tigers at Wrigley Field on Wednesday
The Tigers and Cubs will meet today for a finale of a short two game inter-league series. The opening pitch at Wrigley Field in Chicago is slated for 8:05 PM ET. This game will be televised nationally by ESPN. The Tigers won the series opener on Tuesday by a score of 10-8. A pair of southpaw starting pitchers will be on the mound tonight. It will be 22 year old Daniel Norris who receives the starting assignment for Detroit. While the Cubs counter with red-hot Jon Lester.

 

Starting Pitchers
Daniel Norris was the main target that Detroit wanted as part of the David Price trade to Toronto. Tonight will be his fourth start for the Tigers. During his first three outings, he’s somewhat held his own with a 4.77 ERA and a respectable 1.35 WHIP. He was much more effective in his two road starts at Kansas City and Baltimore when he posted a stellar 2.63 ERA. The young hurler began his professional baseball career in 2012, and has made a rapid rise to the big leagues. His minor league performance lines lead me to believe that quick progression is a tad bit rushed and only time will tell if I’m correct.

Jon Lester is beginning to meet the high expectations after signing a lucrative free agent deal this past offseason. Lester has posted a stellar 2.20 ERA during his last eleven starts. However, there’s certainly a red flag pertaining to Lester heading into tonight. In his two previous starts versus Detroit which came on 6/7/2014 and 6/9/2015, he posted a gigantic 10.39 ERA and 2.77 WHIP.

 

Final Analysis
Detroit endured a frustrating stretch from 7/23 to 8/11 where they scored 2 runs or less in 13 of 19 games. That was a real head scratcher considering the kind of offensive firepower they possessed even without Miguel Cabrera. Speaking of Cabrera, he returned last Thursday from a prolonged stint on the DL. It’s by no coincidence that Detroit has averaged 5.4 runs and 11.4 hits per game during their previous five contests. Detroit has gone 15-5 over the total since 2014 following a game in which they scored 10 runs or more.

The Cubs bats have really come alive during this current 15-3 run over their previous eighteen games. During that time, they’ve averaged a healthy 5.4 runs per game. They’ve also amassed 6 runs or more and 10 hits or more in four of their last five. The Cubs are 9-3 over the total in their last twelve games.

I’m going to lean toward this game being a high scoring affair for one of my MLB picks on Wednesday. According to current MLB betting odds at Pinnacle, they possess a more favorable price and number than any other major sportsbook pertaining to this total.

MLB Pick: Tigers and Cubs over 9.0 (-114).