Sunday Game Three
By: Ron Patrick
LA has taken the first two games of this series, after its 10-0 blanking of Detroit Saturday afternoon. The Angels put up a nine-spot in the first inning, which allowed starter Garrett Richards to relax and throw seven innings of shut-out ball.
The first two games of this series have both played OVER on the totals, albeit with very little help from the Detroit bats. In fact, over their last four games the Tigers have scored a total of three runs.
So the Angles are 6-10, the Tigers 9-8 as LA shoots for the series sweep Sunday afternoon (3:35 pm ET).
Sunday's Betting Lines
As of Sunday AM most books we consulted for our MLB Picks were listing LA with CJ Wilson at around -115 over Detroit with Doug Fister, with the OVER/UNDER posted at eight.
The Angels could also be played at upwards of +190 on the run line at various shops.
Sunday's Pitching Match-Up
Wilson, by our tough standards, is one-for-three on quality starts this season. First, he allowed three ER and six hits in six innings vs. the Reds, then gave up four ER and six hits in six innings vs. the A's. Last time out the left-hander held the Astros to one run and five hits through six innings.
However, Wilson has walked 11 guys in 18 innings this season, so that's been a bit of a problem.
Wilson made two starts against Detroit last year, one of which went well, the other of which did not. Overall, Wilson gave up seven ER and 12 hits through 13 2/3 innings vs. the Tigers last year; the Angels split those two games.
Fister is two-for-three on quality starts this season. In his season debut he gave up three runs in five innings vs. the Yankees, then held Toronto to one run through eight innings. Last time out Fister gave up two runs and four hits through seven innings of a 6-2 victory over Seattle last Tuesday.
Last year Fister made one start vs. LA and got a win, allowing just one run and two hits through eight innings, walking two and whiffing 10 in a 7-2 Tigers victory in July.
Check out our Yankees vs. Blue Jays Series blog right here~
Free MLB Pick for Sunday
Detroit is experiencing a tough time offensively, but we give Fister the advantage in the pitching match-up. So while it's not easy going with a team that's scored three runs total over its last four games, we're leaning toward the Tigers to break out and avoid getting swept Sunday.
Saturday Game Two
By: Ron Patrick
LA took the opener of this series Friday night 8-1, breaking open a close game with five runs in the bottom of the eighth. The Angels got a quality start from Tommy Hanson and seven hits and seven RBI from the top three guys in the order, Bourjos, Trout and Pujols.
LA won as a +110 home dog Friday night, and the game sneaked OVER its total of 8.5, much to the dismay, we imagine, of bettors who backed the UNDER.
The Angels scored all five of those eighth-innings runs after two were out; then, after two were out in the top of the ninth, the Tigers pushed across the final run, the one that sent the game OVER, on a double and a single.
So the Tigers are 9-7, the Angels 5-10 as the teams head into Game 2 of this series Saturday afternoon (3 pm ET, Fox).
Saturday's Tigers-Angels Betting Odds
Most books we surfed Saturday morning were listing their MLB betting odds with Garrett Richards at around -110 for today's game over Detroit with Rick Porcello, with the O/U lined at nine.
Saturday's Pitching Match-Up
Richards, in the LA rotation in place of the injured Jered Weaver, made his first start of this season last Saturday against Houston, allowing four runs in 6 1/3 innings. So including four relief appearances prior to that Richards has given up five runs and just six hits through 10 2/3 innings this season.
Last year, as basically a rookie, Richards made five appearances against Detroit (one start), allowing three runs and six hits through 10 2/3 innings.
Porcello opened this season by allowing three runs in 5 1/3 innings vs. Minnesota, then gave up four runs in five innings vs. Toronto. Then last Sunday he made a relief appearance vs. Oakland, throwing two perfect innings. So on the season he's given up seven runs and 14 hits through 12 1/3 innings.
Porcello started twice against the Angels last year, giving up seven ER and 15 hits through 11 2/3 innings. The Tigers split those two games.
Tigers-Angels Betting Trends
These two teams are now a combined 21-9 on the OVER/UNDERS this season.
Detroit has scored a total of three runs over its last three games.
Free MLB Pick for Saturday
The Angels are off to a slow start to this season, but it wouldn't surprise us if they suddenly got on a roll. Saturday's game is close to a pick 'em, both on the betting line and “on paper,” and while we would normally go with the underdog in a spot like this, we give Richards the slight edge in the pitching match-up. So we'll go with LA for our free MLB pick for Saturday.
Friday Series Opener
By: Ron Patrick
MLB Free Picks: Tigers vs. Angels Series Odds and Preview
We're told the LA Angels are a talent-laded outfit, but they haven't shown us much so far this season, losing 10 of their first 14 games.
Now they've got to deal with the defending American League champions, as the Detroit Tigers visit Anaheim for a three-game series starting Friday night.
Tigers-Angels Betting Odds
As of Friday morning most baseball books we consulted were listing their MLB betting odds with Detroit and Anibal Sanchez at around -115 for Friday night's game, with LA and Tommy Hanson getting around +105 as home dogs.
But TheGreek.com was lining the Angels as -130 favorites to win this series, with the Tigers getting +110.
Tigers-Angels Series Set-Up
Detroit just took two of three games in Seattle, missing out on the sweep by getting shut-out Thursday 2-0. So the Tigers are 4-2 on their current West Coast road trip, as their pitching has allowed a total of 14 runs over their last seven games.
At 9-6 Detroit leads the AL Central by a half-game over Kansas City.
LA, meanwhile, just lost two games at Minnesota, before weather wiped out the series finale Wednesday. So the Angels have won just one of their first five series this season.
At 4-10 LA sits in fourth place in the AL West, seven games back of division-leading Oakland.
Be sure to read our MLB picks of the day to stay ahead of the betting game.
Friday's Pitching Match-Up
Hanson, by our tough standards, is 0-for-two on quality starts this season. In his season debut he gave up three runs and six hits in six innings vs. the Rangers, then got nipped for five runs and eight hits in five innings vs. the offensively-challenged Astros.
Add it up, and Hanson has allowed eight runs and 14 hits through 11 innings so far this season.
Hanson, pitching in the National League until this season, has no recent history against Detroit, having last faced the Tigers in 2010.
Sanchez is two-for-three on quality starts so far this season, and the only reason he isn't three-for-three is because he only pitched five innings his first time out. So far he's held the Twins to zero runs in five innings, the Blue Jays to two runs in seven innings and, last time out, the A's to one run through seven innings.
On the whole Sanchez has allowed three runs and 10 hits through 19 innings, walked eight and struck out 21.
Sanchez started once last year vs. the Angels and took a tough loss, giving up three ER and seven hits through seven innings.
Tigers-Angels Recent History
These two teams split 10 games last season, with the OVER/UNDERS going 2-6-2, as the series trended toward the low-scoring. One team or the other was held to three runs or fewer in nine of those 10 games.
Tigers-Angels Betting Trends
These two teams are a combined 19-9 on the OVER/UNDERS this season.
Free MLB Pick for Friday
LA looks like it's in a funk, and there are rumors manager Mike Scioscia might be on the hot seat. That's what happens when your owner throws hundreds of millions of dollars around, and the team starts 4-10.
Detroit, meanwhile, seems much happier, and Sanchez is off to an excellent start.
So we're leaning toward the Tigers for our free MLB pick for Friday.