MLB Picks: Thursday Value Plays

Joe Catalano

Thursday, June 6, 2013 1:17 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 6, 2013 1:17 PM UTC

Where do we believe that the best MLB betting value lies on today's odds boards? Join our baseball cappers, as they help you uncover the best betting options on offer tonight.

While most of the baseball world is busy looking into the PED scandal, we are busy dissecting the betting lines in hunt for the best value for our MLB picks.

Check out our Thursday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers

After a nice performance by Cole Hamels yesterday afternoon, the Philadelphia Phillies have finally hit the .500 mark. Things are starting looking up for the Fightin Phils, as they’ve won 4 games in a row, are currently in 2nd place in the National League East Division, and get to face a bottom feeder in the Milwaukee Brewers .

Are Those Stats Real?

I couldn’t resist, as Ryan Braun is under the microscope yet again, and he could be facing a lengthy suspension if found guilty of PED use. Major League Baseball has had enough and I think that they will go hard on these guys.

If you look at Braun’s production, you see a bit of a drop-off in his numbers with a .292 batting average, 9 home runs, and 35 runs batted in. Braun has seen his batting average drop about 30 points since the middle part of May and has 2 RBI in his last 9 games.  If anything, Milwaukee isn’t going anywhere and this scandal is just a major distraction to the team.

Baseball’s Home Run Leader

Coming off of another game in which he hit a home run, Dominic Brown has come from out of nowhere to lead the majors in the longball. Brown has been a superstar as he leads the Phillies in home runs (18) runs batted in (44), and batting average .284. From the make up of his body this is one superstar that I know is clean.

Brown has hit an amazing 9 home runs and 17 runs batted in during his last 10 games.

With a Tyler Cloyd (1-2, 4.76) vs. Wily Peralta (4-6, 5.94) pitching matchup, we should see a lot of offense in this game, as these two starters has been hit hard.

Pick- Milwaukee/Philadelphia OVER 9 at Bet 365


Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox

After a 17-5 victory on Tuesday over the Rangers, the Red Sox couldn’t get a much needed hit in the 9th inning of yesterday’s game as they lost to the Texas Rangers, 3-2. The bearded crew look to maintain their lead over the Yankees in the American League East as the Yanks have come within 1.5 games of the top spot.


This just shows you how rampant PED’s are and were in baseball this past decade and a half. In the 2nd game that I’m covering, the Rangers feature Nelson Cruz, another player that’s under the spotlight for being named in the PED scandal.

Cruz is hitting .269 on the season with 14 HR and 40 RBI. Who need’s Josh Hamilton? The Rangers might if Cruz is suspended.

While we’re talking about Cruz, he’s 10 for 19 with 2 home runs and 4 runs batted in against Boston starter Jon Lester (6-2, 3.53). Those are outstanding numbers and it will be interesting to see how this plays out.

Less Than Stellar

Lester has had a good season for the Sox, but he’s gotten hit fairly hard as of late. In his last 3 starts, he’s pitched 20 1/3 innings and allowed 13 earned runs and on 23 hits. Lester’s control hasn’t been what it once was earlier in the season when he was 6-0.

Dave Holland

Holland (5-2, 2.81) starts for the Rangers and he’s had a fantastic start to the season. He’s coming off of 2 consecutive wins in which he pitched 13 2/3 innings and allowed just 1 earned run and struck out 18 batters. Holland is also a lifetime 5-1 against the Red Sox with a 2.41 ERA in 6 career starts.

MLB odds list the total for this game at 8.5. I think that this is fairly high considering the quality of the starting pitchers in this game. This should be an easy UNDER.

Pick- Boston /Texas UNDER 8.5 at Bet 365


Good Luck, everyone!

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