MLB Picks: Thursday Value Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Thursday, June 13, 2013 2:52 PM GMT

Let’s get to the MLB Picks of the Day. Follow this advice and you may end up on the positive end.

With yet another unstable day of on and off precipitation in the Northeast area, I advise you to proceed with caution when making bets or using a fantasy league player. 

Toronto Blue Jays (28-36) at Texas Rangers (38-27)

If you bet on the heavily favored Rangers, you know that you’re going to get a solid pitching performance out of ace Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.75). If you bet on the Blue Jays, there’s a chance of a big profit, but inconsistency and question marks surround this team.

A lot of people have forgotten, but Toronto was expected to win the American League East and with teams like Boston, New York, Baltimore, and Tampa Bay involved, this seems very unlikely to happen.

Toronto couldn’t prevent Jose Reyes from getting injured, but they rank in the middle of the pack in statistical categories and couldn’t possibly expect R.A. Dickey to be such a disaster.

Reliever To Start?

Toronto starts Esmil Rogers (1-2, 3.60) and whenever a team starts a reliever, they’re either experimenting or have no pitchers to take the spot. In any case, this puts the Jays at a major disadvantage, nevertheless against a pitcher like Yu Darvish, the Japanese strikeout machine.

Darvish = Domination

Yu Darvish has held opponents to just a .185 batting average and has struckout 118 batters in just 88 1/3 innings.

With all of the accolades that Darvish has received, several Blue Jays hitters have gotten the best of him. Colby Rasmus (5 for 9, 2 RBI), Edwin Encarnacion (5 for 10, 2 HR and 4 RBI) ,and Adam Lind (3 for 5) have all had success against Darvish and this gives Toronto hope. The problem is that Texas has a solid offensive lineup, are at home, and Rogers isn’t used to the starting role.

The total of 9 runs has stuck out to me with Darvish taking the mound. I like the UNDER in this game as the Rangers are too heavily favored to lay down a moneyline bet.

Pick- Texas/Toronto UNDER 9 for your sports picks today.

[gameodds]3/236309/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Kansas City Royals (30-33) at Tampa Bay Rays (35-30)

Bye Bye Boston!

The Rays have to be happy about Boston and their number 1 offense leaving the Trop and a Kansas City team that’s dropping down in the standings coming in.

Kansas City has surprisingly won 7 out of their last 8 games, but this is a club that was on top and dropped; they’re the model of inconsistency and I wouldn’t hesitate to fade them.

Santana vs. Hellickson

Both pitchers come into this game pitching well. Jeremy Hellickson (4-2, 5.18) finally got the solid start that he was looking for as he held a powerful Baltimore offense to just 4 hits in 6 innings in his last start.

Ervin Santana (4-5, 2.99) has been a bit more consistent. The run support hasn’t always been there, but in his last 2 starts, Santana has allowed just 2 earned runs in 14 innings. For his career, Santana hasn’t had as much luck as he possesses a 5.47 ERA against the Rays in 13 career starts.

I’d consider the starting pitching a wash for this baseball pick.

Longo

Evan Longoria has been on a tear as of late. He’s hit home runs in 3 consecutive games and is riding a 5 game hitting streak. Longoria leads the Rays with 13 HR and 39 RBI to go along with his .305 batting average. This is a big-money player. For his career, Longo is a lifetime 5 for 12 with 2 HR and 3 RBI against Ervin Santana. Could we see a 4th consecutive game with a dinger for this superstar?

Pick- Tampa Bay -141 at Bet 365 (Tampa Bay should play much better knowing that Boston has “left the building”)

[gameodds]3/236308/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Good Luck, everyone!