MLB Picks: Thursday's Pitcher Report Highlighting Betting Edge

Doug Upstone

Thursday, April 16, 2015 6:00 PM GMT

We are trotting out a new feature here at SportsbookReview.com, which is intended to assist you with your MLB picks. We will discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the day’s starting pitchers.

In addition, we will provide a general overview of what bullpens are more likely to contribute to sports picks win and those who could make life miserable against the sportsbooks MLB odds when applicable. We encourage your feedback on these articles to tailor then towards what will help you with your MLB picks.

 

Studs to Consider
The San Francisco offense has been quieter than NBC’s Brian Williams, averaging a measly 2.6 runs per game, which places a great deal of pressure on the Giants pitchers. With no Pablo Sandoval or Hunter Pence, manager Bruce Bochy is dependent on the starting pitchers to keep them in the game. Today Bochy can turn his ace, Madison Bumgarner who is one of the best in baseball. The World Series MVP had a tough outing at San Diego, but is generally as dependable as the April weather in Arizona. Speaking of the Grand Canyon State, that is who Bumgarner and San Francisco will be facing and he’s already beaten them 10 days ago in the desert 4-2. In his career the marvelous left-hander is 7-4 with a sparking 2.65 ERA and his team is 12-6 (+4 units) in his starts versus the Diamondbacks. 

Grade A

 

Chris Archer looks to be in a strong position today with Tampa Bay closing out series at Toronto. What you have to like about this right-hander is his grit when pitching on the road. In his past 10 away starts, the hard-throwing right-hander is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA and what matters even more to MLB baseball handicappers is the fact the Rays are 9-1 as the road team with the 26-year old the mound. This might well be the season Archer puts it all together with his upper 90’s fastball and devastating slider. With Toronto’s offense like a running faucet (either hot or cold), we can see Archer having value as an underdog north of the border. 

Grade – B

 

Could Go Either Way
The Cole Hamels vs. Doug Fister matchup is a potential tough call. No question Washington has the better team, though they are presently tied with Philadelphia at 3-6. Hamels after a bad first outing rebounded and gave up two hits and one run over seven innings in a 3-2 non-decision victory over the Nationals and Fister five days ago. In his career, Hamels is 15-8 (Phillies 23-10) with a solid 2.59 ERA against Washington. However, that has been mostly with better teams versus weaker outfits for the Nats. Fister was sharp in his first outing at Philadelphia and did not allow a run over 6 2/3 innings. He is .500 in five starts against the Phillies (2-2) and has contained their offense with a low 2.12 ERA. Though Washington is -135 home favorite, if both pitchers are on top of their game, the bullpens will likely decide. 

Grade – Incomplete

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":752505, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

 

The same is also true in New York where Dillon Gee will face Jarrod Cosart. Gee has posted a 3-1 record with a 2.84 ERA against Miami in six starts. If he bounces back from a poor first outing he should continue to have a success against the Marlins because despite not having great pitches, he good at spotting his tosses to keep the opposition off-balance. Cosart takes a mid-90’s fastball to the mound and what scouts call a plus-curve (above average) and when right, is very tough on right-handed batters.

Chances are both starters are unlikely to be around until the seventh inning and that is where Gee and New York might be the better wager, because their ERA is a two full runs lower than their Miami counterparts. 

Grade – C- for Mets