MLB Picks: Three Top Money Pitchers Worth a Wager Tonight

Doug Upstone

Thursday, May 14, 2015 2:38 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 14, 2015 2:38 PM UTC

On the Thursday board we will look into three starting pitchers who are scuffling at this time and attempt to figure out what kind effort they will provide against the sportsbooks MLB odds.

Of course one of them will at least be on the winning team no matter how they throw since they will be facing one another. Let’s determine how these hurlers might show today against the MLB betting odds for MLB picks.


Royals vs. Rangers: Struggling Pitchers in Lone Star State Matinee
Kansas City is 8-5 versus left-handed starters this season and has a .304 batting average against them, which makes them a potentially inviting choice taking on Ross Detwiler (0-4, 7.22 ERA) who is being batted around for a .322 average and who has allowed a team-high seven shots over the fence.

Nonetheless, Texas hitters should be able to generate many good cuts facing Royals starter Jeremy Guthrie (2-2, 5.70), who has opposing hitter’s knocking him around for .308 average and his 3.47 strikeouts per nine innings ratio is the lowest in the majors.

Detwiler has ability which is why Washington hung on to him so long but his fastball and curve too often end up in the zone. Guthrie will make four good pitches in any given at bat and next leave one hanging and get tagged for hit.

MLB baseball handicappers have noticed Kansas City and Guthrie have tumbled more than 15 cents on the money to under -110, but that should not be a issue for the Royals as they and their pitcher are 11-3 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 the last two seasons.

Grade – C (For Kansas City)

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Giants vs. Reds: Cueto Hopes Giants are Perfect Elixir
Johnny Cueto (3-3, 2.98) is 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA in five career regular season starts against San Francisco and he would like to believe this will help to turn around a recent sour period. The Reds ace has allowed nine total runs in his last two starts covering 14 1/3 innings. What has been the issue is leaving room service pitches in the middle of the plate and over his last three outings, six of the seven home runs surrendered have come in those starts.

Cueto’s deceptive delivery cannot overcome command issues and possibly being back at Great American Ballpark will get him back on track, as he has a 1.23 ERA at home this season. has Cincinnati as a big -160 money line favorite over the Giants and Tim Lincecum (3-2, 2.00). The former two-time Cy Young winner is spotting his pitches better than he has in years accounting for low ERA and low hit totals (six in last 14 innings). However, the right-hander is 0-4 against Cincinnati with an extra chunky ERA of 9.79.

With the Reds having defeated San Francisco four straight times and 11 of 14, Ceuto appears to be good choice for MLB picks.

Grade – B (For Cincinnati)

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Red Sox vs. Mariners: Boston’s Kelly Shows OVER Tendencies
Seattle had tallied 26 runs in winning four in a row until San Diego’s James Shields contained them in a 4-2 Mariners loss. Seattle’s offense will be in a position to recover against the Red Sox Joe Kelly (1-2, 6.35) who hasn't won since his season debut, posting a 7.67 ERA in five outings and giving up five-plus runs in four straight. In bringing out the shovel on Kelly, we dug up in his past 20 starts since straining his hamstring last season; his ERA is 5.32 compared to 2.92 prior to the injury.

Boston will face Roenis Elias (0-1, 3.86), who has done well filling in for the injured Hisashi Iwakuma. Though the Red Sox offense has only generated 2.7 RPG in their last seven tries, they have managed to ring up 4.4 RPG versus lefties.

Take a good look at the total with Kelly 11-2 OVER against teams with losing record, the BoSox 8-1 OVER after three or more away games and these two AL clubs a perfect 12-0 OVER the previous two years.

Grade – A (For the OVER)

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