MLB Picks: Are the Twins Worth Consideration Friday Night?

Doug Upstone

Friday, June 17, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

Friday, Jun. 17, 2016 1:00 PM GMT

For those betting baseball, the Minnesota Twins are the worst bet in the game at -22.3 units. They have the poorest record in the AL at 20-46 and their season is over with 3½ months left.

However, each new game does present opportunity and while the odds are stacked against manager Paul Molitor's club, they still could win with clutch hitting and strong pitching performance.

Having lost 4-1 last night to New York, Minnesota will attempt to even this four-game series this evening.

My 11-game MLB winning streak was snapped here at SportsbookReview.com yesterday when Tampa Bay could not get key hit, but you knew it could not go on forever and will seek to start another, now at 22-11 for the season on MLB picks.

 

Pitching Matchup - Tanaka vs. Dean
We have all heard getting more sleep is good for health and extra rest has definitely benefited Masahiro Tanaka (3-2, 3.08 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) this season. When Tanaka has thrown on regular rotation of four days' rest, he is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA in six starts. When the right-hander is working on five or more days between starts, he is 2-0 with a sharp 1.74 ERA in his other seven outings. Tanaka tosses a nasty slider and has a split-finger pitch that dives out of batter's view. His low 90's fastball will straighten out and when he cannot throw the other pitches for strikes, opposing hitters sit on his heater.

Pat Dean (1-2, 4.17, 1.42) might be a rookie, but he's hardly young by baseball standards at 27. The left-hander does not have over-powering stuff, as evidenced by his 28 strikeouts in 36 2/3 innings and surrendering 40 base-knocks. The one hope for Dean is the Yankees woes against lefties, which is next topic of discussion.


 

New York is No Longer Bronx Bombers
Manager Joe Girardi has talked about the Yankees injuries affecting offense, but the truth of the matter is age is to blame. When players get older, production diminishes, they are hurt more often and others have to fill in. For New York, only Starlin Castro and and Didi Gregorius are in their 20's among the regular starters. With players in and out of the lineup, the Yankees are at mere 4.0 runs per game. Send this crew on the road and it falls to 3.5 RPG. And against pitchers who throw left-handed like Dean, they are at 3.6 RPG.

 

Twins Do Not Have the Horses
If you wonder why Minnesota is so terrible this season, they simply lack talent. If you live outside of where your license plate says -Land of 10,000 Lakes - or do not have Twins jersey in your closet, start naming regular starters outside of Joe Mauer. That's the problem, the Twinkies are a collection of faceless average players, with some not even that good.

 

Betting Odds, History and Bullpen Numbers
The MLB odds at Bookmaker have New York as -170 favorites with total of 8. With last night's triumph, the Pinstripes have won six of eight at Target Field the past three years and the OVER is also 6-2. The New York bullpen was supposed to be a strength, but based on ERA, they are middle of the road in the AL at 3.84. However, that is considerably better than 14th rated Minnesota at 4.57.

 

Game Outcome
One could make a case for Minnesota win, with New York 14-20 record as visitors and 8-14 versus lefties. But this is the Twins we are talking about and they are 2-14 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games. Also, Tanaka and the Yankees are 12-1 against teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since last year. Play the better club.

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Free MLB Pick:  Yankees -170
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline

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