MLB Picks on the 'Over' for Athletics-Royals AL Wild Card Game

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, September 30, 2014 12:31 PM GMT

Our expert MLB handicapper examines the total in the AL wild card game tonight between Oakland/Kansas City. Thisis a must read for totals players, and the piece concludes with a free MLB pick.

Long Playoff Ending Drought
The Kansas City Royals will host the A’s on Tuesday with the first pitch slated for 8:05 PM ET. The posted total in this game is set at 6.5 according to SBR's live MLB odds. This will be the first postseason appearance for the Royals in 29-years. Their last postseason game was in game 7 of the 1985 World Series when they defeated the Cardinals 11-0. The A’s have been in the ALDS 7-times since the 2000 postseason. In the next few paragraphs, I will be making a strong case for a winning totals selection in this game.

 

Why Go Over the Total
Although the Royals starter James Shields will be making his 7th postseason start, he’s not fared well in those previous 6-outings as evidenced by his lofty 4.98 ERA. The Royals have speed to burn, and they certainly utilize it to their fullest. The Kansas City Royals led all of Major League Baseball with 153 stolen bases during the 2014 season.

The Oakland Athletics were 4th in all of baseball by averaging 4.5 runs per game. Oakland certainly proved they’ve no shortage of power this season, as they belted out 146 home runs.

 

Success vs. Lester
The Royals seem to have the difficult task of having to face Jon Lester in this won or done wild card format. However, several of the current Royals have had success against Lester. Below is a list of those player’s career numbers versus Lester supporting that notion.

Jayson Nix 8-26 (.308) with 3 home runs
Salvador Perez 3-6 (.500)
Nori Aoki 4-9 (.444)
Alcides Escobar 6-17 (.353)
Lorenzo Cain 5-16 (.313)

 

Final Thoughts
Granted these are two terrific starting pitchers going at it tonight. However, with such a low total, and some of the supporting data displayed above, my free MLB pick is for this game to surpass the number.

Free Pick: Bet A’s vs.Royals to go over the total of 6.5 at 5Dimes

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