MLB Picks of the Day: West Coast Offers Top Two Value Plays on the ML & Totals

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, June 2, 2015 2:36 PM GMT

After getting off to a blazing start, we have hit a major bump in the road with our MLB Picks of the Day feature. Tonight, I see a couple of really appealing matchups on the West Coast that appear to benefit the bettor.

Joe C. Record 26-11 +12.13 Units

 

From the Penthouse to the Outhouse
I've basically thrown every ace at the opposition and have come up empty lately. When Mark Teixiera hit a grand slam off of King Felix Hernandez to give the Yankees a 7-0 lead over the Seattle Mariners, I knew that there was basically nothing that I could do and shut off the television. Handicappers tend to run in streaks and we need to end this losing streak today and I think that I have the answer. Let's get to the picks.

 

New York Yankees (27-25) vs. Seattle Mariners (24-27)
Slaying the Beast
That's just what the Yankees did to Felix Hernandez yesterday as Hernandez was very quick to give the manager the baseball and call it a day. Not only couldn't Heranandez get the ball over the plate in this 7-2 loss, the Yankees offense came alive and was smashing everything that he had to offer.

This game was huge for New York as they were the only team to win in the American League Eastern Division and it provided a ton of confidence for the Bombers. The batting averages of Mark Teixiera and Carlos Beltran that were once hovering around the .200 mark have suddenly risen and Brian McCann is really starting to see the baseball well.

 

Making a Point
You look at this Yankees lineup and it wasn't what most people expected. People expected Alex Rodriguez to flop and go out like a cheat, but instead, Rodriguez, who will be 40 years of age in July, has been a flatout stud with 11 HR, 27 RBI, and a .282 BA. Arod is 10 for his last 25 and with an inexperienced pitcher starting for the M's. Expect manager, Joe Girardi, to have all of his experienced hitters in the lineup tonight.

Nobody knows why Mark Teixiera's batting average has taken a dramatic drop since being a Yankee, but he's maintained the same level of power and it fits a need for the Yankees. Tex leads the Yanks with 15 HR and 39 RBI. Teixiera is also capable of drawing a walk which has helped increase his on base percentage to .358. I also mentioned Carlos Beltran and how he couldn't buy a hit in the first month of the season and is hitting nearly .300 this past week.

 

Is He Done?
The key to this game will be the pitching of C.C. Sabathia. The weight gain hasn't worked for C.C. as he's gotten hit hard this season with a 2-7 record and a 5.67 ERA. His ERA is as bloated as his mid-section. Maybe he's the one with the dead arm and not Matt Harvey. With the confidence that the Yankees have picked up from yesterday and the fact that guys like Robbie Cano aren't hitting, I expect C.C. to put forth his best effort. Take the Yankees as a slight +102 underdog on the MLB betting odds against a team that they are superior to.

MLB Pick: Yankees +103 at BookMaker

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Tampa Bay Rays (26-26) vs. Los Angeles Angels (28-24)
"Something's Gotta Give"
The Rays haven't been playing well and losers of 7 out of their last 10 games, but they have Chris Archer taking the mound and he's been pitching at an elite level as of late. Archer's opponent will be the Los Angeles Angels, who have won 5 straight games and Mike Trout is starting to heat up. C.J. Wilson (3-3, 3.18) will start for the Halos and he's coming off of an exceptional start in which he defeated the Detroit Tigers, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits in 6 innings pitched. Wilson can be a bit wild at times and there's little margain for error as Archer has been basically mistake-free.

 

Chris Archer 
Archer (5-4, 2.12) doesn't get an ample amount of run support, but I expect him to keep this game low scoring. He has 82 strikeouts in 68 innings and is holding opposing batters to just a .192 batting average. Archer is coming off of a 8 inning performance against Seattle in which he allowed just 2 hits while striking out 12 batters. I don't care if the Angels have been winning. That's mighty impressive.

Archer will have to deal with the reigning AL MVP in Mike Trout. Trout has hit safely in 13 out of his last 14 games and has 2 HR and 5 RBI in his last 3 games. Trout hasn't had many multiple hit games lately, but he's making the hits count and the intangibles that he brings to the game are invaluable. This ought to be some matchup. 

Even though the Angels are on fire as of late, I'm going to side with the betting total as both pitchers are pitching well. Expect a pitcher's duel and take the under as your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Los Angeles/ Tampa Bay Under 7 at BetOnline

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