MLB Picks of the Day: Tuesday's Value Plays

Joe Catalano

Tuesday, August 27, 2013 1:50 PM UTC

Tuesday, Aug. 27, 2013 1:50 PM UTC

With the teams at the bottom of the divisions such as the Houston Astros and the Chicago White Sox playing well, this makes for some good value as even the top teams lose occasionally in a 162 game grind. Let’s continue to find the best value on offer for our MLB picks tonight.

As stated earlier, the Chicago White Sox don’t have any chance of playoff possibilities but have won 8 out of their last 10 while the Houston Astros have a bunch of no -namers hitting home runs at a high rate and scoring double digits. Things can be unpredictable at times, but on the other hand,  the unexpected can lead to great sports betting value.

Check out our Tuesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Oakland Athletics (73-57) at Detroit Tigers (77-54)

A Down Season

Speaking of the unexpected, Justin Verlander, who is thought by some as the best pitcher in baseball, is have a very “un-Verlander-like season" as he’s proven to be very hittable and has been hit very early in games.

JV has the unenviable task of facing an Oakland Athletics team who much like the Atlanta Braves, keeps on winning with slightly above average personnel. The Athletics are holding on to the final wild card spot in the American League and are also 2.5 games behind Texas for the American League West Division lead. The Tigers on the other hand have a stronghold on the American League Central Division, leading the Cleveland Indians by 5.5 games and are destined for a post season berth.

Justin Verlander

Not only is Verlander having a rough season, but he also has the 4th highest earned run average on his own team at 3.68. He’s coming off of a 7-6 loss against the lowly Minnesota Twins in which he got touched up for 6 runs and 10 hits in 7 innings.

For the average pitcher, you would say that 12-9 with a 3.68 is a fairly good season, but this has been far from a good season for Verlander. Look for him to bounce back at home, with the best offense in baseball.

Oakland starter Tommy Milone (9-9, 4.30) has proven to be average, but inconsistent. He could get lit up here and this is a good spot for us baseball bettors to jump on Detroit.

Pick – Detroit Tigers -170 at Bet 365 (It’s terrible to be laying this amount of juice, but Verlander has been anything but a sure thing)


Cincinnati Reds (74-58) at St Louis Cardinals (77-54)

It’s a 3 team race in the National League Central Division between the Cards, Bucs, and Reds and this will be a competitive race until the end of the season. The Reds still have a chance at the division title, but are content being 6 games ahead of Arizona for the final wild card spot. The Cardinals and the Pirates have been switching positions from 1st to 2nd place for the last few months, but it’s the pesky Cardinals who find themselves currently on top by just a .5 game.

Low Scoring Affair?

Even though both teams have very strong offenses with great depth, this game should be low scoring as Mat Latos (13-4, 2.93) and Joe Kelly (5-3, 3.01) have been dominant as of late.

Mat Latos has been lights out, allowing just 3 earned runs in his last 30 1/3 innings (4 starts) while the young upstart Kelly has been very stingy, allowing more than 2 run just once in his last 7 starts. Kelly is a reliever turned starter and is only likely to give the Cardinals 5 to 6 starting innings. This is where the Reds have the edge as the Cardinals bullpen is guaranteed to be a huge part of this game.

“No Holiday For Cincy”

Matt Holiday has been a real force for the Cardinals as of late. He’s currently on a 6 game hitting streak and in that time is 7 for 23 with 7 runs, 3 HR and 9 RBI. Look for Holiday and Allen Craig to be possibly key players in this game. Craig is coming off a grand slam in yesterday’s game and is nearing the 100 RBI plateau.

This game is all about the starting pitching and I like the UNDER here.

Pick- St. Louis/Cincinnati UNDER 8 at Bet 365


Good luck, everyone!

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