MLB Picks of the Day: Total & ML Play for Your Ticket

Joe Catalano

Thursday, May 1, 2014 1:24 PM GMT

Now that the rain is gone in most areas, there are some interesting matchups as teams will be well rested and we can possibly see some more run production today. It’s time for Thursday’s edition of MLB Picks of the Day.

Joe C. Record

33-35 -10.59 Units

I had a disappointing day yesterday as teams like the Cubs decided to show up unexpectedly. This can’t be prevented and we look to keep grinding away in pursuit of profit.

There’s some early games due to the washouts yesterday and we’ll provide some night baseball for you to allow the maximum amount of print time. Let’s take a look at which matchups could offer us the best battle for our MLB picks.


Seattle Mariners (11-14) at New York Yankees (15-11)

A Bounce Back Performance?
New York would desperately like to take this game from the lowly Mariners. Robinson Cano got booed as expected in his return to the stadium, but he had the last laugh as his team defeated the Yanks in game 1 of this series.

Now, these team have had a day off to rest due to the rainout and Hiroki Kuroda (2-2, 5.28) gets a chance to bounce back from possibly his worst pitching performance in a Yankees uniform in his last outing against the Angels in a 13-1 loss.

The Yankees are playing at home and are clearly the better team against a perennial loser in Seattle. Seattle has a difficult enough time scratching out runs. They rank 26th in runs, 26th in batting average, 28th in on-base percentage, and 23rd in slugging percentage.


No Run Support
If you look at Hiroki Kuroda’s career record of 70-72 with a 3.45 ERA, he clearly has been snakebitten with no run support. Kuroda’s last outing was a disaster, but previous to that, he carried around a 4.00 ERA in 4 starts and has been average at worst. You add in the bats and speed that the Yankees provide and the Bombers should be an easy favorite here.

Mark Teixeira is starting to find the groove after enduring a season long injury last year. Tex has homered in his last 2 games and this is a huge confidence booster for him and it will make the Yankees even that much more dangerous.


2 Star Play
I only lay out 1 unit (star) plays here, but I saw that the line looked fishy when it was first put out (now, it’s back to where it should be) and the Yankees are due to beat up on Seattle.

Free MLB Pick: New York Yankees -150 at 5 Dimes – 2 UNITS

[gameodds]3/263155/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


New York Mets (15-11) at Colorado Rockies (16-13)

Gaining Momentum
Both of these teams are starting to really gain momentum as they’ve climbed on the positive side of the .500 mark. Also, the pitching with a Colon (2-3, 4.50) vs. Nicasio (2-1, 5.27) matchup leaves a lot to be desired. In a park like Coors Field where the baseball carries and the way that Colorado has been tearing the cover off of the baseball, we could see an over, even with a high betting total listed.

To get anything under 9.5 runs with these two pitchers is a gift for those making their sports picks. Although the Mets offense has been lacking, the Colorado air is just what the doctor ordered for David Wright and company. From a Rockies perspective, you have one of the deepest starting lineups in all of baseball from 1-9.


Products Of Coors Field
Almost the entire Rockies lineup is batting near .300 or over. Charlie Blackmon (.374) is their leadoff hitter and the Rockies have superstars such as Troy Tulowitzki (7 HR, 22 RBI, .364 BA), Justin Morneau (6 HR, 22 RBI, .343), Nolan Arenado (4 HR, 15 RBI, .310), and Carlos Gonzalez (5 HR ,18 RBI) who have been simply mashing the baseball. There’s no doubt that these stats are inflated by playing at Coors Field and in a game like this we may see an “inflated score” that should “balloon” above 10 runs collectively.

Free MLB Pick: Colorado/New York Over 9.5 at 5 Dimes

[gameodds]3/263160/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]