MLB Picks of the Day: Top Money Pitchers & Worth Bet Plays

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, May 13, 2015 1:41 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 13, 2015 1:41 PM GMT

There's always value to be exploited & at SBR we found lots on the MLB betting odds for Wednesday night, so read this betting preview to find out our top betting duo to cash in with your MLB picks.

Chicago Cubs (Hammel) vs. New York Mets (Harvey)
Whenever a pitcher of Matt Harvey takes the mound, you know that MLB betting odds makers are going to take notice. That's certainly the case tonight, as we see a very low total of 6.5 runs on the board for New York's matchup at Wrigley against the Cubs, who will trot out Jason Hammel.

You may look at the pitching matchup and immediately assume that the Mets would be the clear-cut favorites, but Hammel has been pitching very well himself, and the Cubs as a whole have been much improved this season. As a result, it's essentially a toss-up when we look at the moneyline odds.

Hammel has gone 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.04 WHIP through his first six starts of the season, while Harvey checks in at 5-1 with a 2.72 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. Both guys have been getting the job done, especially Harvey, who doesn't appear to be showing any ill effects from shoulder surgery. He's looking dominant and seems to be getting more and more comfortable with each passing start, and now he comes up against a Chicago team that may posses a lot of power, but also strikes out a ton. 

Because both starters have been reliable early on in 2015, we like the chances of the UNDER hitting, despite the low total. The Mets haven't exactly been thriving this season because of their offensive prowess, so Hammel has a good shot of another quality start, and we know what Harvey brings to the table on his day. With that said, let's roll with the UNDER, assuming the wind isn't blowing out at a ridiculous rate at Wrigley.

MLB Pick: UNDER 6.5 at Pinnacle

 

Milwaukee Brewers (Nelson) vs. Chicago White Sox (Quintana)
The Brewers weren't able to get much going against Chris Sale last night in a 4-2 loss, but they still come into tonight having won three of their last four. They've been playing better baseball and, as a result, have been priced out as small favorites for the series finale against Chicago tonight. Current lines show Milwaukee trading in the -110 to -115 range, with a total of eight runs on the board.

We'll have Jimmy Nelson and Jose Quintana pitching this evening. Nelson is 1-3 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.08 WHIP thus far, but he's coming off two of his better starts of the season. Last time out, in a home date with the Cubs, he went seven strong innings and struck out 11. The young righty has pitched very well in his three home assignments this season, going 1-1 with a 2.05 ERA and a sparkling 25:5 K:BB ratio over 22 innings.

As for Quintana, he's struggled to the tune of a 1-3 record, 5.03 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, although he's been pitching better than those numbers may indicate. He's allowed two or fewer earned runs in three consecutive starts, with his inflated earned run average and WHIP sitting where they're at because of an implosion which saw him give up nine runs against the Tigers last month.

Still, this seems to be a good value spot for the Brewers. They've been swinging the bats a little better as of late, now that they're getting healthier, and Nelson has shown some good things in recent outings too. Assuming the right-hander can settle in early and find a rhyhtm, avoiding a rough start in the process, we like Milwaukee to close out this series with a victory at home. We'll be taking the Brewers at the appealing price this evening as our MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -110 at BookMaker

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