MLB Picks of the Day: Saturday's Top-Value Money Line Plays on Offer

Doug Upstone

Saturday, May 23, 2015 3:46 PM GMT

After just missing a 3-0 day for MLB picks yesterday, I come right back with three more selections against the sportsbooks seeking the perfection we both crave. 

Looking at betting odds I certainly think so and two of the games will be nationally televised, thus if you are one of those who likes to watch how your MLB picks pan out, if you choose follow these plays you can.

 

Miller and Atlanta Stellar Combo
On FS-1 in the middle of the day, Milwaukee will face Atlanta in third matchup of their four-game series. The teams have split the first two battles and both were blowouts by scores of 10-1 and 11-0. While the city of Milwaukee was the birth place of lite beer and “Miller Time”, the Braves now have their own version they have found to be tasty and refreshing against the MLB odds with Shelby Miller (5-1, 1.33 ERA). Traded away by St. Louis, Atlanta is thankful he was available and last Sunday he was one out away from pitching a domineering no-hitter.

Miller is a quick study and expertly realizes what pitches are more effective on certain days and works with his catchers to make them work. He’s often gotten the best of the Brewers going 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA in eight starts against Milwaukee.

The odds at GTBets seem a little low at -117 given his success. The Brew Crew’s Mike Fiers (1-4, 4.75) season has not gone all that well, particularly at home, but he’s been more effective on the road with a 2.60 ERA in three starts. Nonetheless, after shutting out the Braves last night, Milwaukee is 11-21 after allowing one or fewer runs and with the total at 7, Miller 8-0 at home when the total is 7 or less the last two seasons. (Team's Record)

MLB PickAtlanta -117 at The Greek

Must Read: Go 'Over' in Each Matchup of Giants vs. Rockies Double-Header

Keep Betting Against Oakland
It seems virtually impossible this has happened. On the morning of August 1 2014, the Oakland Athletics were the talk of baseball with their 66-41 record, with a run differential that was approaching historic proportions. On that day, they lost to Kansas City and their downward spiral continues.

Since that day, Oakland is 36-64, which includes giving up two four run leads to the Royals in the AL Wild card game. The fall is as sudden and unfathomable as any in recent baseball history. MLB baseball handicappers are quick to point out already this season they are -21.6 units on the betting scale and with the worst fielding team in baseball by a significant margin and one the poorest bullpens in the majors, manager Bob Melvin cannot snap his fingers and make everything better.

The A’s have recalled Kendall Graveman (1-2, 8.27) from Triple-A Nashville to start this game in his second stint with the club this season and with this being a 4:05 game local time in Clearwater, Oakland is 1-13 this year in day games. Tampa Bay will utilize Nathan Karns (3-1, 3.77) who is 3-0 with a 2.95 ERA in seven outings since losing his season debut to Baltimore. With opposing batters hitting just .196 against Karns and the A’s scoring 2.96 runs per contest in losing 14 of 16, the -150 Rays money line is not too much a burden.

MLB PickTampa Bay -150 at BetOnline

 

The Angels Should Have the Upper Hand
Boston spent a ton of money to quickly rebound from a 71-91 campaign in 2014. At 19-23 (-7.8 units) the Red Sox are seemingly no better and the availability of Pablo Sandoval, Shane Victorino and Hanley Ramirez all up in the air again for tonight on FOX.

Even if they can play, these walking wounded probably are not going to do much damage against the L.A. Angels C.J. Wilson (2-2, 3.06) who will be looking to bounce back from his worst start of the year. Wilson yielded four runs and a season-worst 10 hits over five innings, but the left-hander is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 10 career starts vs. Boston.

The Red Sox have been playing lethargic baseball like in last night’s 12-5 rout by the Halos in which they committed three errors. "There's definite frustration. And that's shared by all in our clubhouse," manager John Farrell said. "We expect more from ourselves." The BoSox are 2-8 this month at Fenway and 8-24 at home against an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better the last two seasons.

MLB PickL.A. Angeles -105 at Bovada