Our success continued on generating MLB picks yesterday and we attempt to do at least as well if not even better against the sportsbooks betting odds heading into Saturday action.
Normally it takes me some time to identify the plays for this article, but when I looked at today’s matchup and pitchers for MLB odds, it was like John Madden broadcasting games and it went –Boom, Boom, Boom and I was ready. Here we go!
In Battle of Bad Offense’s Atlanta has Enough
After an 8-4 start, the Braves have dropped four straight road games. While their pitching has not always done enough for them to win, the Atlanta players on the lineup card have contributed even loss in scoring six times in four games. Every team is going to have their ups and downs when it comes to compiling runs, but other than Nick Markakis (.352 BA) and Chris Johnson (.303), the rest of the Braves lineup is not doing the job.
Well, help could be on the way with Philadelphia using David Buchanan (0-3, 9.22 ERA). Besides surrendering 22 hits in 13 2/3 innings, the 25-year old right-hander has walked nine opposing batters. Atlanta’s Shelby Miller (2-0, 1.69) will toe the rubber and while his control has not been great either, but at least he retires hitters. Miller should be able to contain a Phillies offense which has tallied one run in four of their past five contests and is dead last in the majors in runs scored at 2.5 per game. After there 1-0 victory last night, Philadelphia is 30-55 in next outing after winning by two or less runs since 2013.
MLB Pick – Atlanta -112 at The Greek
St. Louis Continues Dominance of Milwaukee
As a MLB baseball handicapper, it is often smarter with MLB picks not to over-think particular situations. For example, St. Louis has beat up on Milwaukee when they actually had good teams and are 16-5 at Miller Park. This season the Cardinals have flown to the top of the division with their 11-4 start (+6.4 units), while the Brewers with so many injuries which have thoroughly depleted their batting order are 3-14, -12.2 units.
It does not become any easier for the Brew Crew having to face Adam Wainwright (2-1, 1.71). The Cards ace was the victim of one of the rare Milwaukee wins as he was coming back from abdomen injury, which limited his spring training work. However, Wainwright is continuing to be better and prior to that defeat, he and Redbirds were 6-1 versus the Brewers and for his career he has solid 2.44 ERA in 24 starts.
Milwaukee’s Wily Peralta (0-2, 5.68) gets a fourth chance to earn his first win and based on how the season is playing out, he will have to be near perfect. With the Brewers catching +130 odds, home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175, having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games, against opponent after having won eight or more of their last 10 games, are 18-68 the past 18 years, take the Cards.
MLB Pick – St. Louis -140 at BetOnline
Seattle Shines at Home
A trendy choice to win the AL West and possibly advance to World Series out of the AL, Seattle stumbled to a 3-7 start. The Mariners first mission is to get back to .500 and they can move within a game of that with another win over Minnesota which would give them three straight.
James Paxton (0-1, 8.40) has the assignment of advancing the Mariners cause and he knows he’s not performed well and knows he needs to do better. "I'm struggling right now, but I'm not going to quit fighting," said the left-hander. "I'm going to figure it out and persevere."
At least we will not have to face Nelson Cruz, who leads the majors with nine home runs like the Twins Trevor May (1-1, 4.76) will. May will need a clean effort since Minnesota is only plating three times a game. The -160 price might seem a little high considering how Paxton has thrown, but analyzing what both teams will have on the field, the M’s have the edge to be winners.
MLB Pick – Seattle -160 at 5Dimes