MLB Picks of the Day: Pitching Gems & Inflated Odds

Joe Catalano

Friday, June 26, 2015 1:32 PM GMT

The weekend series will start tonight and with it, another opportunity for us to make a profit with our daily MLB picks. Follow along so you can grow your bankroll tonight.

Joe C. Record 48-28 +17.55 Units

 

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles

Kluber Is Due
Even though 3.65 is a very respectable earned run average, Corey Kluber is simply not the pitcher that he was last season. At 3-9, Kluber has lost his last 4 starts due in part to the lack of run support that his team has been providing for him.

In his last 4 starts, Kluber has allowed 12 runs in 27 innings. He's basically allowing 3 runs per start and his team, which is slightly below average, hasn't managed to do anything for him. I'm expecting him to turn it up a notch as he faces the O's and rely more on himself more than his offensive support. Aside from that, due to his team's lack of effectiveness, you'll receive great MLB odds with Kluber and sooner or later, the Tribe will have to hit for him.

 

Jason Kipnis
While the Tribe rely on Jason Kipnis and Michael Brantley, Kipnis has completely torn the cover off of the baseball. He's on a 19 game hitting streak and is hitting .565 this past week and nearly .400 for the month of June, which is almost complete.

Kluber might not be getting the run support, but this sure doesn't fall on the shoulders of Kipnis. He might lack some power, but he's the hottest hitter in baseball as he's been getting on base more than he's been making an out; simply amazing.

This is an important game for Baltimore as they picked up a game on both the Yankees and Rays yesterday. Both teams are ahead of them in the American League East Division. A lot of Baltimore's success is due to the play of Manny Machado. Machado has turned from a doubles machine into a complete hitter as he leads Baltimore with a .304 batting average to go along with 14 HR and 40 RBI. Don't bet against this guy to produce, just bet against his team as my gut is telling me that Corey Kluber will take matters into his own hands and pitch a gem.

MLB Pick- Cleveland Indians -105 at 5Dimes

 

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Rockies Feast Off of Coors Field
I really dislike inflated numbers due to Coors Field and now the Rockies will have to play a real game in San Francisco against the defending World Series Champion San Francisco Giants. Considering their records and the Rockies inability to hit away from home, the betting odds are fairly favorable where the Giants are concerned.

Veteran, Tim Hudson, faces one of the Rockies better pitchers in Chad Bettis. To be a member of the Rockies and have a decent record, you have to be a decent pitcher. Thus far in 8 starts this season, Bettis is a very respectable 3-2 with a 3.44 ERA. I'm not so concerned about Bettis if I were to back the Rockies, it would be guys like Charlie Blackmon, who love to hit at home.

The Giants are on a 2 game winning streak and have outscored their opponent 19-8 in those 2 games. Hudson would even like half of that support.

What I like about the Giants is that they are a well-balanced baseball team. Last night's game is a great example as their first 7 hitters had 2 hits or more. Of course, this won't happen every night, but the numbers don't lie as their top 7 hitters are all hitting .269 or better and the player that's hitting .269 is Brandon Belt, who has picked up some significantly, timely hits. San Francisco is the far superior ball club despite Bettis pitching and are the better bet.

MLB Pick- San Francisco Giants -143 at 5Dimes