MLB Picks of the Day: Park Factor Key to Cashing in Wednesday Evening

Ross Benjamin

Wednesday, June 24, 2015 3:08 PM GMT

Our expert handicapper takes a look at the Royals/Mariners & Padres/Giants matchups to present his top totals MLB picks of the day for you to grow your bankroll tonight.  

Royals (Duffy) vs. Mariners (Elias) 10:10 PM ET
Daniel Duffy enters tonight in horrible form over his previous three starts. In those outings he’s posted a monster 13.03 ERA, 2.56 WHIP, and had three more walks than strikeouts. The Royals have gone 6-1-2 over the total in their previous nine games, and are hitting a robust .297 as a team over the last seven.

The Mariners Roenis Elias has been shaky during his previous two starts. He allowed 9 earned runs on 11 hits while walking 4 in just 11 1/3 innings pitched.

The home plate umpire tonight will be Chris Segal. Games have gone 22-12-2 over the total since 2013 when Segal was calling balls and strikes. I’m leaning toward this game being a high scoring affair for one of my MLB picks. This total opened at 7.5 and has gone down to 6.5 at Heritage.

MLB Pick: Royals and Mariners over 6.5 (-115) at Heritage.

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Padres (Kennedy) vs. Giants (Vogelsong) 10:15 PM ET
The Padres Ian Kennedy has seemed to find his groove in his last three starts. Kennedy has displayed very good form in those outings, posting a stellar 2.50 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and compiled a 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio. In two starts versus the Giants this season, Kennedy has a 0.97 ERA. The Padres have a poor team batting average of .219 during their last seven games.

Ryan Vogelsong has gone 4-0-1 under the total during five starts at home this season, posting a shining 3.04 ERA, and 1.05 WHIP in doing so. He’s made one start versus San Diego this year, and allowed no earned runs on just 3 hits in 7.0 innings pitched. The Giants are 22-12-2 under the total at home in 2015, including 16-4 when facing a division opponent. Those 20 home clashes versus NL West foes have averaged only a combined 5.5 runs per game scored. The Giants have hit just 19 home runs in 36 games at AT&T Park this year.

I like this to be a low scoring games, and Heritage offers us the best price on going under the number.

MLB Pick: Padres and Giants under 7.0 (-110) at Heritage.