MLB Picks of the Day: A Pair of Ace Pitching Showdowns Highlight Today's Winners

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, September 16, 2015 2:42 PM GMT

There's a full slate of MLB games and still time to go on another major run with our valuable MLB Picks of the Day.  Lets explore the Odds and bet some winners. 

Joe C. Record 141-89 +44.70 Units

Tornoto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves: Betting Odds Getting Out of Hand
You know when Shelby Miller is pitching at home and over a 2/1 underdog in the MLB odds market, this is quite extreme. While it is true that Miller is pitching against the Toronto Blue Jays, who have the best offense in the league and are playing for the division and the Atlanta Braves have totally collapsed, Miller is a quality pitcher and good pitching wins games. Miller finds himself facing David Price and this game has the under written all over it.

Miller stands at 5-14 with a 2.86 ERA. These numbers are insane as his team is filled with players looking to make the team or play out the string.

Regardless, the Braves have provided Miller no run support as any ERA under 3.00 is considered top-notch. At home, Miller is even better than that as he sports a 2.35 ERA and almost averages a strikeout per inning. He's also only given up 11 home runs per game and that's a great number as he will face sluggers such as Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, and Edwin Encarnacion.

 

Limping To MVP Award
Getting back to Josh Donaldson, he's been the MVP of the season in the American League but has slowed down a bit. He's 6 for his last 25 with 1 HR and 4 RBI. These numbers are kind of light in comparison to his .302 BA with 38 HR and 119 RBI. Mike Trout won't get MVP because his team is not a factor, but my point is that this game points to the under as even the Blue Jays best players is in a a tiny slump.

MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays & Atlanta Braves Under 7 (-110 at Heritage 2 UNIT PLAY

 

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays: Archer's Revenge
The last time these two teams met, Chris Archer (12-11, 2.95) was on cruise control as he dominated the Yankees offense and actually made them look like Minor Leaguers. All of a sudden, Brian McCann hit a 3 run home run out of nowhere and Alex Rodriguez hit a home run just over the right-centerfield fence to give the Yanks a 4-3 lead.

Joe Girardi immediately took Ivan Nova out and the Yankees bullpen didn't give up a run. I hadn't seen a pitcher look so in control as Archer and then out of control, basically. Tonight, coming off of a 6-3 Rays win, Archer gets another stab at stifling the Yankees offense as he faces young upstart, Lou Severino, in what should be a good matchup.

 

A Stunned Severino
Severino was used to everything going his way in his short stint in the MLB, but in his last start, he allowed 5 runs on 5 hits in the 1st inning alone to the Toronto Blue Jays as Josh Donaldson's smooth stroke planted one over the left-centerfield fence against Severino and the Yanks. It was one of the sweetest and smoothest hits, without effort, that I've seen in a while. The Yankees depend on Severino (3-3, 3.35) and even though he has great stuff, I think that his confidence is shaken and this is the perfect spot for Archer to get his revenge on the team that embarrassed him.

 

Being Owned
One player to watch out for in this game is Alex Rodriguez, in 61 recent at-bats against the Rays, he has 8 HR and 13 RBI. This guy is a game-changer and in my opinion, one of the best of all time no matter what the public's opinion is about him. Archer can't allow Arod to beat him twice in a row.

MLB Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -132 at 5 Dimes 2 UNIT PLAY