MLB Picks of the Day: Monday 6/23

Joe Catalano

Monday, June 23, 2014 1:38 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 23, 2014 1:38 PM UTC

Zack Greinke and “King” Felix Hernandez headline Monday’s MLB slate of games. See who we like as our betting picks as we try to finish up June on a high note.

Joe C. Record: 100-101 -29.45
I got 2-1 on Sunday while winning with the Angels as an underdog, but unfortunately make just a .08 profit as I “drank the kool-aide” and took the heavily favorite Yankees with Masahiro Tanaka on Old Timer’s Day. Time to move on as we’ve almost climbed back to the .500 mark after a long hard fought battle with more games to come.

Los Angeles Dodgers (42-35) vs. Kansas City Royals (39-36): Greinke Makes the Start
Usually when you get an ace like this, you have to pay for it like I did yesterday, but Kansas City has played well up until their last 4 games (all losses), and the Dodgers and ace Zack Greinke (9-3, 2.57) will be on the road for this game and the odds are more appealing. 

Greinke is the type of pitcher that even when he’s pitching poorly, he’s pitching better than 75% of the other pitchers in the majors. He’s also lucky to be supported by a Dodgers offense which is loaded. Greinke and the Dodgers will face Jeremy Guthrie (4-6, 3.86). Guthrie might not win a lot of games, but the upside to him is that he goes deep into games, and will keep Kansas City in the game, and leave it up to their offense. Whether Hosmer, Gordon, Perez, and Moustakas are hitting that day is another question. The Royals offense lacks power and can be inconsistent at times, and against a pitcher like Zack Greinke, that will hurt them here. 

While Yasiel Puig and Adrian Gonzalez have cooled off as of late, Hanley Ramirez has been the hot Dodgers hitter as of late. Ramirez is 8 for his last 20 with 1 HR and 5 RBI. Look for L.A. and Greinke to beat up on a slumping Royals team.

Free MLB Pick: Dodgers -127 at Bovada

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":287718, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Miami Marlins (37-38) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (34-40): Two Slumping Baseball Teams
After watching the fish play against the Mets yesterday, I took away a really bad feeling of a team that’s not as good as its record indicates. Of course when there are a ton of empty seats at your home park, it’s difficult to get that extra support. Miami now travels north to Philadelphia and the Marlins are an awful road team; 12-20 to be exact. After an 11-5 pounding administered by the Mets, the Marlins have lost 7 out of their last 10 games.

Fausto Carmona?
The Marlins might have the edge in pitching as Roberto Hernandez (3-5, 4.52) take the mound for the Phillies, and he’s coming off of a really poor performance in which Aaron Harang was more ineffective than he was. Hernandez walked away with a no-decision as he allowed 5 runs on 8 hits in 6 innings. My gut says that Hernandez will keep the Phillies in this game. Even though the Phillies stars are past their prime, the Phillies are getting some decent production out of Chase Utley (5 HR, 33 RBI, .300), Marlon Byrd (12 HR, 43 RBI, .263), and Ryan Howard (14 HR, 50 RBI, .243). Howard hasn’t hit for average, but he’s 10 for his last 29 with 3 HR and 9 RBI in the last week.

This Phillies offense combined with the fact that the Marlins have been a disaster on the road should be enough to give Philly the win at desirable odds.

Free MLB Pick: Philadelphia -101 at 5 Dimes as one of your MLB picks

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":287306, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
comment here