MLB Picks of the Day: Mets vs. Dodgers NLDS Game 5 Betting Analysis

Joe Catalano

Thursday, October 15, 2015 5:14 PM GMT

This is exactly how we expected the National League to turn out as the teams with the best pitchers in the New York Mets vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers duke it out in game 5 of the NLDS.

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers: Greinke vs. deGrom Part 2
Clayton Kershaw proved his worth in the playoffs as he won in game 4, thus bringing us to a game 5, where everything is on the line. It doesn't get much better than this. This is how I look at it. Zack Greinke has had the slightly better season than deGrom, but deGrom comes up huge in big spots like he did in game 1, and the Mets offense has improved and is far superior to that of Los Angeles', but game 5 will be played in Los Angeles and home field advantage is big here as the Mets are a much better team at Citifield,

 

Motivation Factor?
We all know that Zack Greinke has a big ego and a win here would somehow match him up with Jake Arrieta down the line. Baseball is a team sport, but I can see Greinke possibly looking down the road at an encounter with the guy that's going to steal his CY Young Award.

Greinke has the experience and proven resume, but deGrom has the drive and "team first" mindset and these things do come into play.

Remember, if either pitcher get's in trouble, the managers will send out all pitchers to pitch and that's where the Mets have the advantage as their pitching staff is stacked. Greinke will have pressure with a thin pitching rotation, but the Mets haven't won anything big in a while. This is like a "dead heat" in horse racing.

 

Can't Rely On Murphy
I stated that the Mets have te better offensive lineup and they do, but they're coming off of a tough 3-1 loss to Clayton Kershaw who was on short rest. Daniel Murphy managed his 2nd home run of the series as the Mets only run.

Murphy has been clutch in this series where guys like David Wright, (.083) and Lucas Duda (.133) haven't been. With Duda, it just takes one swing of the bat and  he can win this series. That said, Curtis Granderson , Murphy, and Yoenis Cespedes have been the go to guys. I can see Greinke making a mistake out of fatigue alone and that's where Lucas Duda is the type of player to take advantage. Don't expect a ton of offense as the long ball might decide this game.

 

Props to the Dodgers
I picked the Dodgers to win the World Series, but with Kiko Hernandez, Howie Kendrick, Adrian Gonzalez, and Justin Turner, I thought that the offense was a bit weak. I was wrong as each hitter has managed to hit over .300 in this series. Gonzalez just recorded his 5th RBI of the series in game 4. With all of that said, Jacob deGrom is a pitcher that doesn't get phased. He is the Mets ace and expect deGrom to pull of a repeat performance to game 1. Look for New York to pull off the upset.

 

MLB Pick: New York Mets +150 at at 5Dimes