We're coming off of another monster day after following the Drew Hutchinson Rule with Wednesday's MLB picks. Let's keep the ball rolling as we look to go into the All-Star Break on a very high note with our betting picks.
Joe C. Record - 63-40 +21.10 Units
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: Richards vs. Hernandez
Felix Hernandez continues to pitch lights outs with mixed results due to lack of run support from his team. In his last 2 games, he's pitched 13 innings and has allowed just 2 runs while striking out 14 batters. He has an 0-1 record to show for it.
I really have no sympathy for the "The King" at this point as he decided to stay in Seattle for the money and could've played somewhere else on a winning team, but instead, he's remained on the Mariners squad and we all know that the Mariners are going nowhere.
Low Scoring Affair
Hernandez squares off against Garrett Richards, who has pitched much better as of late. Richards has won 4 of his last 5 decisions and is starting to pitch like the pitcher that he was last season, before a nasty injury knocked him out for the season and took away any post season chances that the Halos had.
In his last 5 starts, Richards has pitched 7 innings or more on 4 occasions hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any outing. I thought the betting total would be below 7 runs, but fortunately it's 7 on the dot. Despite game changers such as Mike Trout (24 HR, 50, .305 BA) and Albert Pujols (26 HR, 56 RBI), this game is going under the betting total. Although the Angels are an alluring bet, having won 5 straight games, they're facing Felix Hernandez and we're going to stick solely with the betting total.
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians: Brett Oberholtzer is Back
The last time that I saw Brett Oberholtzer, the New York Yankees lit him up for 6 run in 1 1/3 innings and he intentionally threw the baseball at Alex Rodriguez because he was pitching so poorly. Houston did the right thing and immediately sent Oberholtzer (2-1, 4.32) to the minor leagues and gave him a reminder of where he could stay.
Although this could motivate a player, Oberholtzer basically dropped to the bottom of the food chain in my book despite being on the Houston Astros (49-38), a team that has shown dramatic improvement and leads their division.
If anything, the incident with Olberholtzer is a benefit. MLB Odds makers are fixated on the fact that Houston's offense is far superior to that of Jason Kipnis and the Cleveland Indians and the Indians aren't much of a betting favorite at home. Bottom line is I'm fading Olberholtzer and the betting odds look mighty appealing at -125 in favor of the Tribe.
Houston has lost 2 straight games and the Los Angeles Angels are creeping up on them in the division while Cleveland has won 2 straight games and is 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Tribe have a long way to catch Kansas City as they are 10 games behind the Royals, but we're talking about this game and I'm sour on Olberholtzer.
Cleveland has no power despite Brandon Moss (14 HR, 46 RBI) and the combination of Jason Kipnis and Michael Brantley have been able to keep this team afloat. I actually think that a win here would be big as the Tribe would be headed in the right direction. Make Cleveland your betting pick at home.
MLB Pick- Cleveland Indians -125