MLB Picks of the Day: Highlighting Totals for Wednesday Night Action

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, October 21, 2015 4:53 PM GMT

The Mets & Royals are mowing down the opposition and are just 1 game away from that elusive World Series. Lets take a look at what could be our last Picks of the Day for 2015.

New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs - Mets Lead 3-0: Daniel Murphy and the Pitching
These are the two ingredients that have gotten the New York Mets to just 1 game away from the World Series. Sometimes teams make it to the World Series playing like world-beaters and then losing the big one, but I don't think that any team has a chance against the Mets.

At one point in the season, the Mets couldn't get a hit and now, things are totally different. There's simply no let up in their pitching rotation as Jacob deGrom hasn't needed a quick hook and is outpitching his opponent. Matt Harvey has the potential, but "deGrom is da man"; make no mistake about it.

Speaking of the man, how about the man who hit 12 HR, 70 some odd runs batted in and a .280 hitter during the regular season in Daniel Murphy?

Daniel Murphy's performance in these playoffs have turned him from a good, but not great hitter into a Mets legend. Murphy has stepped to the plate 33 times and has 6 HR, 9 RBI and a .364 BA. It seems like every time you turn on a Mets game, Murph has hit another.

I remember personally witnessing Don Mattingly's home run streak, but this is at a much higher level as one game and Murph will be playing in the World Series. I don't know if Daniel Murphy can continue this pace, but everything he see's look like a huge beach ball. Along with this top level pitching staff, the combination can't be beaten. Chicago would be lucky to win one game at best.

 

Steven Matz
In the last 5 games in this series, there have been a total of 7 runs or less in each game. I must say, if there were a game to give the Cubs false hope, it would be tonight against up and comer, Steven Matz.

In the month of October, Matz has pitched just 5 innings while allowing 3 runs on 6 hits. There are many factors taken account with Wrigley Field.

Yesterday, the wind was a factor and we saw a lot of home runs. Guys such as Jorge Soler can catch fire very easily in this park. I'm not doubting that the Cubs could possibly win a game, but we're concerned with the betting total of 9 runs. It's placed right where it should be as Matz isn't yet at a level of a Noah Syndergaard or Jacob deGrom. The Mets real objectives are to win this game, get to the World Series,save Matt Harvey's arm and not have to use it in this series.

The Cubs haven't shown me much in this series. All they've shown is that the Mets are a better team with a better pitching staff and a more clutch offense and we already knew that. Take the under with your MLB Pick today. Usually when there are crazy winds, the betting total is 10 or more at Wrigley Field.

MLB Pick: New York & Chicago Under 9 (-115)  at 5Dimes

 

Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays- Royals Lead 3-1: Unstoppable!
The Kansas City Royals appear to be a team on a mission. They scored almost as many runs in the last games as baseballs to the face mask that catcher, Salvador Perez had to endure Before anything, I have to say, I've never seen a catcher be brutalized like that before and he kept fighting the good fight.

As for the Jays, Dickey got the quick hook and with the exception of Josh Donaldson, they didn't put up a good fight and didn't look like the team with the best offense in baseball as Chris Young embarrassed them.

We move to game 5 and we get an Edison Volquez vs. Marco Estrada matchup. These teams have average pitching rotations and you want to take the over every time, but Volquez proved in his last outing that he wants a ticket to the World Series.

In 6 innings, Volquez gave up just 2 hits in a 5-0 victory over Toronto. I realize that the Blue Jays fans will be going crazy. The only way that they'll get to see their team play again is if the Jays run off 3 wins in a row. This has been done plenty of times, but after looking at Toronto's lifeless offense, I'm not expecting it. Volquez isn't going to pitched a ton of innings as both of these managers are trigger happy for the bullpen.

 

Not the Same Players
I really don't have too much to say about Kansas City because everyone in their lineup such as Lorenzo Cain, Alcides Esobar, Salvador Perez, Kendrys Morales, and Eric Hosmer have worked as a team unit and have been playing well offensively. What bothers me is a couple of Blue Jays that came to this team to help and are doing the exact opposite.

 

Revere and Tulo
I expected Troy Tulowitzki to have trouble in this series. After all, this isn't Coors Field and Coors Field makes players look better than they actually are. I'm not saying that Tulowitzki has no talent, but he is much overrated. I'm disappointed in the play of Ben Revere.All that can be said is Revere looks scared and out of his element. This is a .300 hitter that worked his way to the top of the Blue Jays lineup and was a key figure in them getting to this point.

Once Revere is on base, which is rare, he's fine, but he looks like a scared puppy at the plate. Revere is looking to bunt his way on because he sure hasn't connected solidly for this entire series. This was the best player in the Phillies lineup and he's proving that he's far from clutch in the big game. Toronto must have Ben Revere get on base to set the tone if we're to reach a game 6 in this series.

The betting total was 9 just as it was yesterday and in this series, any game can go over, but I must stay with my gut and that is the under. Toronto has been ineffective at the plate and Kansas City has been playing above their heads.

MLB Pick: Toronto & Kansas City Under 9 +100 at 5Dimes