Another day and another slate of baseball games to pick some winners from. Big value to be found on the Yankees vs. Jays & Cubs vs. Phillies in Friday's Picks of the Day.
Joe C Record 136-86 +41.86 Units
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: Price vs. Severino
At 79-60, the Toronto Blue Jays have the New York Yankees hot on their heels, just 1.5 games behind the Jays and Toronto gets to face the young hot phenom in Lou Severino. Many teams were looking to trade with the Yankees and pick up Severino, but he was "not for sale".
Thus far this season, he's 3-2 with a 2.09 ERA. At home, Severino carries a 1.56 ERA. However, the one meeting that Severino faced the Blue Jays, he had a difficult time, allowing 3 runs on 5 hit in 6 innings, but still managed to strike out 9 batters. Is Severino capable of handling the best offense in the majors in the Blue Jays at home as a betting underdog is the question?
In his last 18 1/3 innings, Severino has allowed just 2 runs, but at this point, he's capable of 6 innings per game. This game could depend on the competence of the Yankees bullpen.
Canada Loves David Price
I've stated this once before in a previous article. Price was a beast with the Tampa Bay Rays and was sent to the Detroit Tigers, who were looking to win the World Series. The Tigers then collapsed as a team and Price wasn't nearly as good as he was when he was with the Tampa Bay Rays. Now, he's on a team with bashers such as leading AL MVP candidate Josh Donaldson, Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion, and Troy Tulowitzki. That's about as good a group of players that you'll see. David Price has also kept up his end of the bargain also.
In 7 starts since joining the Jays , Price is 5-1 with 1 no decision. He's also pitched a total of 50 1/3 innings and has allowed just 12 earned runs. Toronto lacked pitching and they got their man in David Price. I see this game being a low scoring game due to the high level of pitching and 7.5 is a solid total where MLB betting odds are concerned. Under is the play
MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays & New York Yankees Under 7.5 (-105) at Bet365 3 UNIT PLAY
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies: Jake Arrieta Faces a Bottom Feeder
This is chalk lover's delight as the Cubs are on the road and over a -300 betting favorite. To me, this is unbettable, but the runline looks appealing as Jake Arrieta (18-6 , 2.03) takes the mound and he's been masterful. If not for Zack Greinke, Arrieta would be my vote for NL CyYoung Award winner as the Cubbies are finally a winning team at 80-58.
The beauty in the Cubs fans is that they come out to every game no matter if their team is 80-58 or 58-80. The Cubs haven't won a World Series in over 100 years. They're definitely headed in the right direction with the offensive roster that they possess and guys like Arrieta pitching lights out baseball.
The Cubs couldn't run into an easier series at the right time as the Philadelphia Phillies are one of the worst teams in the majors and ready to call it a a season. The Phils have lost 8 out of their last 10 game and are 54-86 overall.
Philly is basically starting from scratch. They got rid of Cole Hamels and their lineup is filled with young players such as Odubel Herrera (8 HR, 40 RBI,.300 BA) and Cesar Hernandez (1 HR, 32 RBI, .270 BA). Expect Ryan Howard to be the next Phillies legend to the leave the team as they've basically gutted out the entire roster. Philadelphia simply can't compete with the likes of Anthony Rizzo and rookie Kris Bryant. With Arrieta starting, this should be a blowout.
MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-145) at 5 Dimes 2 UNIT PLAY