MLB Picks Of The Day Features Big Upset Alert On Moneyline Play

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, July 6, 2016 3:42 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 6, 2016 3:42 PM UTC

Today's MLB Picks of the day has a big upset and two unit play that will definitely cash. Read on as our capper provides his insight on these games and provides you with some good odds analysis.


Colorado Rockies at San Francisco

National League Is Home
I'm sure that a lot of you knew that the second that I mentioned Johnny Cueto's name, there was major interest as he had a spectacular 2016 as opposed to an an average season last year in which he was able to pick up a ring. Quite simply, Cueto is a National League pitcher and there's nothing wrong with that. With the dominance that he's been displaying (12-1, 2.57 ERA) with a little-added run support, the San Francisco Giants will gladly accept it as they face a far inferior Colorado Rockies (36-45) squad.

Total Dominance
This is the San Francisco team of old. They don't have a ton of hitting, but their pitching has been so good along with timely hitting, that they're considered one of the top contenders with a few months to go until the post-season.

San Francisco is 20 games over .500 at 53-33. It's not like the Giants have done anything special lately, but they're 5 games ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the National League West Division and are only 5-5 in their last 10 games. This division isn't very strong in particular, especially where offense is concerned, and that's why the Giants are "top dog".

You take a look at the Rockies (38-45) and they put on a show at Coors Field and are a slightly improved team with the likes of Nolan Arenado (23 HR, 69 RBI, .290 BA) and Carlos Gonzalez (18 HR, 51 RBI, .315 BA), but they're 13.5 games behind the Giants for the division lead and simply don't have the pitching to compete and their offensive output shrinks on the road.

Both of these teams have split the first two games of this series and being that this game isn't at Coors Field, it will come down to pitching. Johnny Cueto is coming off of 2 consecutive poor outings and San Francisco being more than a -200 betting favorite, will make this a value play. Cueto has allowed 10 runs and 15 hits in 13 innings. Although I don't like to fade Cueto, I'm forced to. Colorado is my MLB Pick.

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Free MLB Pick: Colorado Rockies +200 
Best Line Offered:  at YouWager



Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox

Two Top Hitting Teams Collide
That might be the theme to this game, but Boston starting pitcher, Steven Wright (9-5, 2.42 ERA), hasn't always received the run support on a top hitting team, but has been a "boss" if you will, as he's been a "go to guy" in the Red Sox pitching rotation. Wright has pitched exceptionally well, but just like Johnny Cueto, has "spit the bit" in his last two outings, allowing 7 runs on 15 hits in just 9 2/3 innings. This is cause for concern because if there's a repeat performance, the Boston bullpen will get burnt out and this will be a very high scoring affair. Which Steven Wright shows up is the question in the ball game?

The Grind
Sometimes the 162 game grind gets to a team and especially in the month of July, which displays the highest temperatures of the year. Boston certainly hasn't been displaying the double-digit outputs that they have in recent months and Texas has been playing .500 ball recently and just barely protecting their divisional lead over the hard-hitting Houston Astros. Another factor is the ball traveling well in hot weather and the East Coast has been in the 90's from the north to south.

Just like the first game that I covered with the Giants and Rockies; both of these teams have split the first two games of this series and each game was very lopsided. I don't expect that to happen here as I expect Wright to be very competitive.

Bulletin Board Material
Ian Desmond of the Rangers, who has had the best season of his career, had made a comment that nobody can keep up the pace that the Red Sox could where scoring runs is concerned. The Red Sox have 6 players starting in the All-Star Game as opposed to the Rangers 2. No team wants to hear something like this. Don't think for a moment that David Ortiz (19 HR, 66 RBI, .337 BA) hasn't mentioned this comment to his team as Ortiz is having the season of a lifetime as his finale in his career. I really can't see a player leave the game playing like this, but Ortiz hasn't hedged on his decision. I also expect Ortiz to be a factor in this game as he feeds off of the off-handed comments like the one that Ian Desmond made. Take the Sox at Fenway.

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Free MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -154, 2 UNIT PLAY??  
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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