MLB Picks of the Day: Easy Fades and Chalky Faves

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, July 1, 2015 3:11 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jul. 1, 2015 3:11 PM GMT

The 4th of July is just 3 days away, but the real fireworks come tonight when we explode with a couple of bets that we think are sure fire winners. Here are your betting gems for Wednesday.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Philly Doesn't Know How To Win
If there's something that we've learned from the first 3 months of the season, it's that the Philadelphia Phillies are the worst team in Major League Baseball and they don't know how to win baseball games.They can put a top flight starter out there like Cole Hamels, have the lead, and think that they're going to get the "W", but in the end, almost all of the time, the Phillies come out on the short end of the stick.

The great thing in this series is that the Milwaukee Brewers are a bunch of underachievers with a decent offense. I know that this sounds negative, but in reality, it makes the MLB odds more appealing and in the end, the Brewers still have players of quality such as Jonathan Lucroy and Ryan Braun that can bring the Phillies to their knees.

Philadelphia is a great fade. As I told you from the start, Ben Revere, who leads the Phillies and is a career .291 hitter, is the only player in the lineup that can consistently get on base and that's simply not enough when Ryan Braun is capable of going deep with one swing of the bat.

 

Kyle Lohse vs Aaron Harang
In a Kyle Lohse vs. Aaron Harang matchup, we have more of the same where odds are concerned as Harang is capable of a solid pitching performance, but can be inconsistent at times and Lohse is really having a poor season at 4-9 with a 6.28 ERA, but still has the better offense to support himself with.

In his last start, Lohse allowed 4 runs in 6 innings to the Minnesota Twins and actually got the win. That is barely an average performance, but if he does the same thing here, he will get the win for a 2nd consecutive time. My money is on the Brewers.

MLB Pick- Milwaukee -120 at 5Dimes

Looking for more action? We have a pair of MLB picks on totals you can't miss!

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Jon Lester Faces An Invisible Offense
Sometimes you have to go back to the games that you picked previously because lessons can be learned. One thing that I knew and went with my heart anyway, knowing that the Mets can't score a run to save their lives. I figures with Daniel Murphy coming back and Curtis Granderson on a home run tear, that the Mets would win. That wasn't the case as Kyle Hendricks had the answer to stop the Mets in their tracks and hold them scoreless in a 1-0 Chicago victory. 

The Cubs didn't show much themselves offensively but the one run was enough. Chicago is still just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but the Mets are a franchise that is notorious for disappointing their fans. That said, the Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games. The question is will their bats wake up?

 

Duda the Disappointment
I say it over and over when I do Mets articles, but Lucas Duda is a major disappointment. Aside from Granderson, Duda is the one form of power in this lineup. Thus far this season, Duda has 10 HR, 33 RBI, and a .260 BA. Those aren't the worst numbers that I've ever seen, but he's done it very quietly after his huge breakout season last year.

Lucas Duda is just 4 for his last 23 at-bats. New York needs him to catch fire, espcially against a quality pitcher such as Jon Lester. Duda is a career 2 for 3 of off Lester for 1 HR and and 1 RBI.

As for Jon Lester (4-6, 4.03), he's a quality pitcher that went for the big contract and signed with the Cubs and he's had some good performances and some poor performances.

More was expected out of him than what we've seen. He had been pitching solid baseball lately, allowing 2 runs in 13 1/3 innings in 2 no-decisions from the time period of 6/14 to 6/20, but then came back with a stinker against the Dodgers. This is the perfect situation for Lester, but his offense must not let him down and they have the talent in which they shouldn't let him down with guys like Anthony Rizzo and Kris Bryant. Look for Lester to get the win against New York at CitiField and back the Cubs with your MLB picks.

MLB Pick- Chicago Cubs -122 at 5 Dimes

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