With most of Sunday's MLB betting action going off early on this extended Memorial Day Weekend, we will look towards the later games for our top plays. I've been red hot and I intend to stay that way.
Joe C. Record: 21-5 +15.46 Units
Sunday Night Baseball: Texas Rangers (20-23) vs. New York Yankees (22-21)
A Tremendous Amount Of Respect
When you have lost 9 out of your last 10 games and your last 5 games overall and were beaten by your opponent 15-4 on Saturday, the MLB betting odds shouldn't be in your favor or at least close to even depending on your opponent.
The New York Yankees are a -145 betting favorite over the Texas Rangers, who are ready to go in for the sweep and have won their last 4 games. To top it off, Chris Capuano is pitching for the Yankees and as you know, Jacoby Ellsbury is out of the lineup and placed on the DL while he was on fire.
Capuano has made one appearance this season and has allowed 4 runs on 4 hits in 3 innings in a loss to the Kansas City Royals. The jury is still out on him. He faces a Texas team which is much better on the road than in their home park. Yovani Gallardo gets the start. While Gallardo (3-6, 4.26) is certainly nothing special, he can pitch 6 innings and give the Rangers offense the opportunity to win the ball game. Gallardo hasn't gotten a ton of run support, but he's catching the Yankees at the right time. His team has scored 25 runs in their last 2 games against New York.
At one point in his career, Prince looked like he could possibly be headed for the Hall of Fame. We know that he's not a PED guy and his weight and swing provide him with a lot of power.
This season, Fielder has recaptured his old form with 8 HR, 30 RBI, and a .351 BA. In his last 2 games against New York, he has 3 HR, 7 RBI and is 5 for his last 9 at-bats. Texas has a very weak offense as Sin-Soo Choo hasn't been the same since his time with the Reds. Fielder has been the anchor that's kept this team together and Chris Capuano could be his next victim.
New York is the better team, especially when Ellsbury and Gardner get on base with their combination of speed and ability to play small-ball. That said, this is a great spot to take the Rangers as the underdogs. New York is caught in an awful spot and with no viable pitching options,
MLB Pick- Texas Rangers +138
A Major Disappointment
A lot was expected from the Padres with their off-season moves, but guys like Matt Kemp have come up short. I don't want to say that "I told you so", but I could see this coming a mile away as Kemp hasn't been the same baseball player since his quad injury a couple of years ago.
He's went from the penthouse to the outhouse; a guy that as just 1 home run on the season and is playing in a pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Just not a smart move. The Dodgers still have a good record, but Clayton Kershaw hasn't been the same and having Jimmy Rollins as the leadoff hitter instead of Dee Gordon, is much less imposing. Gordon is excelling with the Marlins while Rollins is hitting .194 with 4 HR and 13 RBI. That signing of an aging veteran was pathetic!
The Here and Now
This game hinges upon "Do you fade the Dodgers as the Padres have the better starter in James "Big Game" Shields?" San Diego has had an offensive drought, scoring 7 runs in their last 5 games.
This is a tough one as I always tend to lean towards the better pitching. Thus far this season, Shields is a perfect 5-0 with a 3.74 ERA. That record is somewhat of a contradiction as it would lead me to believe that he's received some run support. The Pads do have Justin Upton, who has a respectable 11 HR, 29 RBI, 9 SB, and a .278 BA to lead the team this season. He hasn't been hot as of late, but Upton is always a threat to go yard in any game.
Being that we're playing with house money, I'm going to place my MLB picks with the Padres and look for Shields to pitch well and break this losing streak behind a decent amount of offense.
MLB Pick- San Diego Padres +118 at 5Dimes