On this "Transitional Thursday," we are motivated to nail down the late MLB games with a couple of "W's" when we provide our baseball betting picks.
Joe C. Record 121-72 +47.11 Units
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Playoff Implications
We hit the last game of the day where two teams are going in opposite directions. The Cardinals are on a 4 game winning streak, leading their respective division by 4.5 games over a really gamed Pittsburgh Pirates team and the Cards face the Arizona Diamondbacks who are lucky enough to be in the National League West Division.
Although just 62-64 with 36 games remaining in the season, the D'Backs are 7.5 games behind the division leading Los Angeles Dodgers and are a big winning streak from making things very interesting. Every game is big for both teams, but realistically, the Cardinals are the team to focus on as they can do damage in the post season.
The Diamondbacks are looking to salvage a game in this 4 games series and the lack of offense has hurt them. They can talk all they want about Paul Goldschmidt's 482 foot home run in the 1st inning off of John Lackey yesterday, but that's all that they were able to produce in a 3-1 loss. The D'Backs simply haven't been able to score in this series and without Goldschmidt they would have nothing.
You look at this Arizona lineup 1 through 4 of Inciarte to Peralta and you have a nice cluster of hitters hitting around the .300 mark and Peralta provides good security for Goldschmidt, but the Cardinals pitching has put a halt to this offense in this series.
The one player that Arizona can always rely on is Paul Goldschmidt. In his last 5 games, Goldy is 8 for 17 with 6 runs scored, 3 HR and 6 RBI. For the season, Goldschmidt carries a .331 BA to go along with 25 HR and 94 RBI. He's a .360 hitter at home, but the key numbers in his statline is that he has a .446 on base percentage. To be considered and elite player in this league, a player usually has around a .390 OBP%, but Goldschmidt has surpassed that by a mile. Place your MLB picks with confidence, looking for him to continue to hit well no matter who the opposition puts in front of him.
Good Pitching Wins
The Cardinals actually can't compare to the Diamondbacks where key hitters are concerened, it's their pitching that holds the opposing team in check and they definitely have the advantage in starting pitching with Carlos Martinez taking to the rubber tonight. Martinez is 12-6 with a 2.85 ERA, but has had a rough time of it lately as he's lost his last 2 decisions and has only won once in his last 5 starts. Martinez does allow a decent amount of hits and this game will come down to the pitching of Rubby de La Rosa. I like the Diamondbacks to pull of the upset and salvage a game at home.
MLB Pick- Arizona Diamondbacks +114 at 5 Dimes- 2 UNIT PLAY
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: On Fire!
All you had to do is see Dominic Brown pull a Bo Jackson and break the bat over his leg and you know that the New York Mets have been a dominant team. This dominance has carried over since their time in Colorado. Thus far in the 1st 3 games of their series with Philadelphia, the Mets have outscored the Phillies 31-16. Their pitching, which is their "bread and butter" hasn't needed to be great as the offense has woken up in this last month and has made people forget about all of the games in the first half of the season in which the Mets couldn't manage a run.
Will There Be a Problem?
Starting pitcher, Jonathan Niese (8-9, 3.80) has been a fighter this season as he looks to maintain his spot in a Mets pitching rotation which is filled with talent. Terry Collins might give some pitchers a break down the stretch and go from a 6 man rotation to a 5 man rotation and that means more work for Niese.
Niese had been spectacular in his 4 previous starts prior to the Colorado start in which he allowed 7 runs on 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings and still picked up the victory in an amazing 14-9 Mets win. Prior to that disaster, Niese had allowed 7 runs in 26 innings which covered those 4 starts. If he can regain his old form, New York should have no problem here as their offense is firing on all cylinders and they're facing an inconsistent pitcher in Aaron Harang (5-14, 4.67).
There is a lot of confidence where the Mets are concerned as guys like Michael Cuddyer (.263), Curtis Granderson (22 HR, 55 RBI, .254), and Yoenis Cespedes (.311) are really starting to see the baseball well. Look for the Mets to sweep the Philadelphia Phillies, who are going nowhere.