MLB Picks: Take Royals -130 over Yankees

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, June 7, 2014 1:41 PM GMT

Our sports betting guru Ross Benjamin previews Saturday's American League game between the Yankees and Royals. Read his informative article filled with pertinent MLB odds information which concludes with a free pick.

A Pair of Underachieving Teams
The Royals host the Yankees on Saturday at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri with the first pitch slated for 7:15 PM ET. According to MLB betting odds the Royals are a -130 money line home favorite and the posted total is 8.0. Heading into this weekend's action, the Yankees had won their last 4 at Kansas City, and have defeated the Royals in 7 of their last 9 overall. These clubs have seen 6 of their last 8 meetings go under the total.

[gameodds]3/287011/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

The Starting Pitchers
The Yankees will send right-hander David Phelps to the hill today. Phelps is just 1-5 in his team starts this season with a 4.19 ERA. He's coming off a terrible start last Monday at home versus Seattle. In that outing Phelps allowed 6 earned runs in 6.0 innings of work during a 10-2 loss to the Mariners. On a positive note, Phelps has gone 8-3 in his last 11 team starts versus an opponent with a losing record.

The Royals will send southpaw hurler Daniel Duffy out to the mound on Saturday. Duffy comes off what was arguably the best start of his career Monday in St. Louis. The lefty tossed 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball while allowing just 1-hit. Duffy has now gone 10-4 in his last 14 team starts overall. The bad news is that Duffy hasn't fared well in 2 career starts versus the Yankees. In those 2 outings he's posted a mammoth 10.80 ERA and 2.16 WHIP.

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Yankees Bats Silent of Late
Heading into this weekend series with Kansas City the Yankees offense has been anemic scoring just a combined 16-runs over their last 7-games. The other bad news in that regard is they will be facing a southpaw starter tonight, and the Bronx Bombers have hit a paltry .196 over their previous 10-games in that role. The Yankees have seen just 11 of their last 40 road games go over the total when they face a left-handed starting pitcher. On a profitable note, the Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 road games when facing a southpaw starter.

 

Ready for a Royals Surge
The start to the season has been bit of a disappointment for a Royals team that entered the season with high expectations, and as a club that many experts labeled as a legitimate playoff contender. The good news is there's still a lot of baseball left to be played, and the Royals are coming off a momentum building series that saw them take 3 of 4 from St. Louis. Despite the uneven start, they now find themselves just 4.0 games behind the first place Detroit Tigers in the AL Central. Many of you would be surprised to know that Kansas City is a stellar 38-17 in their last 55-games as a money line favorite of -110 to -150.

 

Final Analysis
It seems very strange to look at the overnight lines and spot The Royals as a rare favorite versus the Yankees. Painfully as it may seem for Yankees fans to face, you can certainly make a strong case for Kansas City to be the better team in this matchup as of this juncture. The Yankees will almost assuredly get the majority of the market share as an underdog in this spot. I like the hungrier home team to get the cash here.

Free Pick: Royals -130 over the Yankees