MLB Picks: Take Royals +103 & Over 7.0 in Game 1 of World Series

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, October 27, 2015 12:44 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 27, 2015 12:44 PM GMT

Our MLB shares betting advice on the total & money line for Game 1 of the 2015 World Series. Dont miss this comprehensive preview that includes both of his winning MLB picks.

The Money Line
I’m not overly enamored with making a money line pick in the opening game of this series. I like the Mets Matt Harvey a heck of a lot better than Edinson Volquez of Kansas City. I already made a MLB futures bet on the Royals prior to the start of the season, and am aware of the importance of a Game 1 win. Here’s the deal, I’m going to keep it dummy proof. The Royals are a terrific 56-31 (.644) at home this season. The Mets are pretty average in away games in 2015, going 45-41. This MLB picks is based solely on my professional intuition.

MLB Pick: Take Kansas City +103 at Bookmaker

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The Total
Let’s take a look inside both of these teams offensive numbers, and consider how they’ll stack up pertaining to the total. First and foremost, current (10/26) MLB betting odds indicate the total is 7.0.

 

The Mets
The New York Mets are averaging 5.4 runs, possesses an on base percentage of .459, and also an OPS of .792 in their previous seven games. They have a sizzling hot hitter this postseason in Daniel Murphy. The Mets second basemen has gone 16-for-38 (.421) with 7 home runs, 11 runs batted in, and aslo an off the charts 1.462 OPS in 9 games. Murphy has hit .417 in 12 career at bats versus Royals opening game starter Edinson Volquez.

 

The Royals
Kansas City has gone 6-5 over the total this postseason, and they’re averaging 5.7 runs per game. They’ve been especially hot offensively in their previous seven games. During that stretch, Kansas City has averaged 6.4 runs per game, possessed a .459 OBP, and had a stellar .792 OPS. Kansas City pounded out 43 hits and scored 27 runs in the last four games of the ALCS against Toronto. The Royals also possess plenty of speed, evidenced by their 107 stolen bases this year.

 

Final Analysis
The Mets Matt Harvey is a marvelous talent. However, he’ll be making his first ever postseason start on the road. Kansas City has been notorious during the past two postseasons for putting a lot of stress on opposing pitchers and defenses. Look for them to do much of the same against Harvey.

The Royals starter Edinson Volquez has been erratic for most of 2015. Case in point was his two ALCS outings versus Toronto. He was the starter in Game 1 of that series, and allowed no earned runs in 7.0 innings of work. Then in Game 5 at Toronto, he allowed 5 earned runs in 5.0 innings during a 7-1 loss.  I like this game to go over the total for one of my MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Play on Toronto & Kansas City OVER 7.0 (-115) at 5Dimes

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