MLB Picks: Sunday's Value Bets of the Day

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, June 1, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

Sunday, Jun. 1, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

Swinger peruses the MLB odds to find out which games are worthy of his MLB picks. Last Sunday he banged the books with a 4-0 day and he's back to do it all over again in his weekly MLB massacre.

Swinger's 2014 MLB Record (12-13-1, -8.8 units)
Unfortunately I only write my MLB column once a week (Sunday) and when I review last week's events it feels like ancient history. But when you go 4-0, there isn't a mountaintop that is safe from my screaming. 

And so it was that I cashed the Braves for a maximum 5 units on the money line (-165) and -1 ½ (+135) on the run line for 3 units in MLB odds which turned out to be a cakewalk with their 7-0 blanking of the Rockies. I then turned my attention to the Yankees -175 who did what every big favorite is supposed to do and that was steamroll their competition to the tune of 7-1 over the White Sox. And finally, we clicked with our only nail biter of the day when the Twins and Giants combined for nine runs which was good enough to cash our 'over' 7 ½ (+110) in that game. 

So here we sit, 6-1 over our last seven games and getting to know the personalities of these 2014 MLB teams. We are still down 8.8 units on the season but we're hoping to get back in the black - right now!


Cubs vs. Brewers
Sure Cubs' pitcher Jeff Samardzija has dropped his last three to the Brewers but I am still backing him here as one of my MLB picks today. Major League Baseball's ERA leader with the lousy record dazzled last Monday when he struck out 10 en route to an 8-4 victory over the Giants and registered just his first win of the season. The victory snapped a 16 start winless streak dating back to last August.

Run support, or lack thereof, has been the death knell for Samardzija but if Saturday's offensive explosion in the form of an 8-0 win over these same Brewers is any indication then the 6'5" right-hander should get a little help from his friends today. This is the rubber game of the three-game set and the Cubs looked resilient after rebounding from their 11-5 loss on Friday night.

Though Brewers' starter Kyle Lohse looked rock solid in April he was not the same pitcher in May and I expect that the Cubs will look at the tape from their earlier meeting with Lohse this season when they found themselves on the short end of a 4-3 decision and learn from it. 

Free MLB Pick: Play the Cubs +130 for 3 units at Bet365.com as one of your MLB picks.

[gameodds]3/286628/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


Rays vs. Red Sox (MAX PLAY)
Boston is finally returning to form after a miserable April and most of May campaign. The Red Sox have won six straight and the Rays are reeling. Look for Boston to continue their torrid pace and outlast their AL East rivals in this one.

Sox ace Jon Lester is on the bump today and he has been a steady force for Boston this season despite their rocky start. Although he is 1-4, his record is indicative of a severe power outage by his teammates whenever he takes the hill. However, the boys from Beantown are hitting now and Lester's last outing on Thursday paved the way for a 6-3 road win over the Braves.

I'm not going to mess with success and try to get all contrarian in this one. I am simply gonna ride the wave and I suggest you do too. Let's lock and load on this one and bring home the cash while the Red Sox make it seven in a row.

Free MLB Picks: Play Boston -165 for 5 units at WilliamHill.com and play Boston -1 ½ for (+130) 4 units at WilliamHill.com.

[gameodds]3/287931/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

comment here