MLB Picks: Sunday's Starting Pitchers with Clear Advantage

Doug Upstone

Sunday, July 5, 2015 2:15 PM GMT

When a team creates a little winning momentum, sometimes it is up to the starting pitcher to help his team to come through against the MLB odds and produce a performance that matters.

That is what we will be looking at for today as baseball handicappers, which pitchers have the mental makeup to succeed and carry their team to yet another victory versus the betting odds and if you should truly use them for MLB picks. Here is the rundown of three such contests.

 

Brewers vs. Reds: Milwaukee with Jungmann
Long forgotten this season, the Brewers are attempting to at least reach mediocrity for the season and there has been nothing mediocre about their recent play. Milwaukee has won seven straight and 10 of 12 and with a victory on Sunday are within four games of fourth place Cincinnati in the NL Central.

The Brewers offense has carried the load, averaging 4.0 runs per game, in this winning streak they are scoring a blistering 7.4 RPG and the last six have all been on the road! Adam Lind has been setting off most of the fireworks batting .395 with 14 rbi's over his past 14 games.

Inserted into the starting rotation to shake things up, Taylor Jungmann (2-1, 2.79 ERA) is making the most of his opportunity, allowing two earned runs or less in four of his five starts. The 2011 first round draft has regained some velocity on his fastball and his breaking pitches have shown more downward spin, making him tougher to hit.

Sportsbooks have Milwaukee as +110 underdogs against Cincinnati and Mike Leake (5-4, 4.38), who remains inconsistent and has a 6.11 ERA in eight starts at Great American Ballpark. Since last year the Brew Crew is 9-0 in road games after three or more consecutive wins, so why not take this smoking hot underdog for sports picks.

Advantage - Jungmann and Milwaukee

 

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks: Arizona with De La Rosa
The Diamondbacks have won five of seven and the first three games of this series as they will attempt yet again to reach .500. The D-Backs offense have been hotter than the desert temperatures, averaging 6.0 RPG and over 10 hits per contest.

The Snakes go for the series sweep and have already taken eight of 11 versus Colorado this season and 18 of 25 at Chase Field since 2013. In the battle of De La Rosa's, Rubby (6-3, 4.60) will take the ball for Arizona and he's 2-0 with a 1.30 ERA over his last four starts.

Jorge De La Rosa (5-3, 4.59) is the Rockies starter and he also has been in a good groove with 5-1 mark and 2.96 ERA over his last eight starts.

At 40-41, the D-Backs have been within a game of .500 six straight times and failed to reach that summit. Today they are -139 favorites (-135 at Heritagesports.eu) and it is impossible to ignore NL July road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like Colorado, allowing 4.8 or more runs a game are 9-54 since 2010.

Advantage - R. De La Rosa and Arizona

 

Angels vs. Rangers: Wilson & the Halos
Since losing 13-3 at home to Houston, the Los Angeles team which resides in Anaheim has conceded 15 runs in their past nine games, which is the leading indicator why they have won seven of nine. They have stopped opposing offenses dead in their tracks and C.J. Wilson (6-6, 3.78) will try and do the same against his former team.

Most pitchers are fired up to face their old club and possibly the laid-back lefty is and gets too keyed up, because he has 6.59 ERA versus Texas and at Globe Life Stadium his ERA could fill a 10-gallon hat at 9.70 in five starts in Arlington.

Most online sportsbooks have Wilson and the Halos as -110 away faves with the Rangers 3-14 in divisional home tilts this season. Nevertheless, Wilson has been a streak-stopper with he and his Angels teammates are 1-10 on the road after a triumph since last season.

Slight Disadvantage - Wilson and Los Angeles