MLB Picks: Sunday Picks of the Day

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, May 4, 2014 2:30 PM GMT

Swinger takes a look at the MLB odds for Sunday May 4th to see if he can find a few teams that will put some green in our pockets with his MLB picks.

Swinger's 2014 MLB Record (5-10-1, -26.25 units)
Can it get any worse? Sure, we did the splits last Sunday but that's ancient history and my record is now about as atrocious as those cheap rugs that JJ Gold buys in downtown Newark. What we have to do now (notice it's always "we" when the going is rough...just wait until what "I" do when we start winning) is not panic and chase. We've got a long way to go in this MLB season and there are plenty of opportunities to get well. But seeing as this is a weekly column, perhaps we better put it into high gear and win now. Let's git'er done.


Dodgers vs. Marlins
Jose Fernandez takes the bump for the Marlins and the kid has been sensational at home. He is the next generation of Felix Hernandez, Justin Verlander, Cliff Lee and Johan Santana in his prime. And the Marlins are actually hitting this season. They rank 5th in runs scored, 3rd in batting average, 4th in on base percentage and 3rd in slugging percentage. Yes, this is the Miami Marlins if you can believe it! 

And now they try to take the rubber game to close out a three-game set with the Dodgers after dropping a 9-7 slugfest in extra innings. And who do the Dodgers have chucking for them? A Triple-A call up named Stephen Fife who came into this one with a 7.08 ERA for Albuquerque in six games this season. Wasn't there someone else that was in the front of the line rather than a guy with an ERA north of seven?

Well guess what? I'm backing the big underdog in MLB odds here. First off, Fernandez collided with strength and conditioning coach Ty Hill before yesterday's game.  He had a little soreness after the collision and that's enough for me to hang my hat on and back the more talented Dodgers. Listen, the Marlins are playing over their heads and this 15-15 record will ultimately slip well below .500. This kid Fernandez is a super talent no doubt but if the Dodgers make him throw a lot of pitches and he checks out of the game during or after about the sixth inning, LA will have a great chance of winning this game. As for Stephen Fife, he can't be nearly as bad as his record indicates and he did register a 3.86 ERA in 10 starts and two relief appearances last season.

Let's take advantage of getting the Dodgers with plenty of juice against an overachieving Marlins club with a young pitcher whose arm might be sore from an injury sustained yesterday.

Play the Dodgers +150 for 2 units at Bet365.com.

[gameodds]3/263344/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


Mariners vs. Astros
The Astros fell hopelessly behind yesterday when the Mariners torched their pitching staff for eight runs in the seventh inning making it a 9-2 ballgame but Houston fought back with six more runs of their own. It was all for naught as the Mariners registered a 9-8 victory but it's all shiny and new today at Minute Maid park.

Collin McHugh gets the nod for the Astros and why not? He has cemented his place in the rotation with a 2-0 record and a micro 0.59 ERA. On the flipside we have Seattle's Brandon Maurer who is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in six career road starts, every single one of them resulting in a Seattle loss. Even worse is his 27.00 ERA in two career starts against the Astros. While I'm not fond of throwing good money on bad teams, I'll make an exception here.

Play Houston -105 for 3 units at Bet365.com.

[gameodds]3/263350/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


Tigers vs. Royals
I'll give you the down and dirty on this one. The Tigers are smashing the ball lately and their pitching has been en fuego which is why they have won four in a row and six of their last seven. Meanwhile the Royals offense has been anemic and even their pitcher today Jason Vargas got lit up for 10 hits and five runs in his last outing.

Take the Tigers in your MLB picks. You'll be glad you did.

Play Detroit -120 for 4 units at Bet365.com.

[gameodds]3/263349/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]