MLB Picks: Sunday Picks of the Day

Joe Catalano

Sunday, May 26, 2013 12:41 PM GMT

We get into some heavy pitching matchups as the aces dominate Sunday’s slate of MLB games. Does this mean a lot of betting UNDERS? Let’s check it out as we enter our MLB Picks of the Day.

St Louis Cardinals (31-17) at Los Angeles Dodgers (20-27)

It’s Kershaw Day!

It’s Kershaw Day as arguably the best pitcher in the majors takes the rubber in Clayton Kershaw. He’ll be opposed by an equally tough Shelby Miller (5-3, 1.74) and a hard hitting Cardinals team.

When it’s Kershaw Day ,the betting total for the game is almost always under 7 runs and sure enough Bet 365 lists the game at 6.5 -120. Most sportsbooks have the total at 6 runs, but if you can get the UNDER at 6.5, I suggest that you do so.

The difference between Kershaw and Miller is that Kershaw can give a team those extra innings and leave a bullpen out of the game as much as possible. With a weak hitting team like Los Angeles, this is a major benefit. Kershaw is coming off of a complete game 3-1 victory over the Brewers in which he allowed just 3 hits. If the Dodgers lineup can squeeze out a couple of runs, Kershaw will be happy.

Gonzo

Since Matt Kemp has clearly dropped a few notches as a baseball player, the burden of producing has rest upon the shoulders of Adrian Gonzalez. Gonzalez came through big in a 5-3 win over the Cards last night in which he went 3 for 3 with a homer and 3 RBI. Gonzalez has hit for average, but the Dodgers need his power game to pick up.

I like the UNDER in this game. Both of these pitchers have been outstanding and if the Cardinals bullpen can do even an average job, this should be a low scoring affair.

MLB Pick- Dodgers/Cardinals UNDER 6.5 for your sports picks.

[gameodds]3/227996/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Philadelphia Phillies (24-25) at Washington Nationals (25-24)

I hate to hit you guys with an early game like this, but I’ll be covering the Mets vs. Braves Sunday Night Baseball game in a different article.

We have another bigtime pitchers duel and two suspect offenses as Cole Hamels (1-7, 4.45) and the Fightin Phils visit our nation’s capital to play against Stephen Strasburg (2-5, 2.66)  and the Washington Nationals.

Aces?

You look at their combined record of 3-12 and ask me “what am I talking about?” These are a couple of tomato cans.

For Strasburg, it’s been a lack of run support from a weak Nationals offense that ranks near the bottom in most statistical categories and Cole Hamels also gets little run support, but has simply had a lousy season. In my opinion, he still has “ace stuff” when it comes to “bringing it” to the plate.

Bryce Harper Debate

I’ve viewed a lot of the debate between who’s the better baseball player between Bryce Harper and Mike Trout. The answer is starting to become clear as the season plays out.

While Harper started the season like gangbusters, he doesn’t have the ability to sustain the massive production needed to be the future in the game. Trout is a hitting machine that can do it all and will only get better. He got off to a slow start to the season, but has picked up his level of play substantially and is the best investment for a team to have for the next 15 years.

That said, the Nats have a nice investment in young Harper. He’ll put his body on the line and run into walls; the guy earns his contract. On the season, Harper is batting .286 with 12 HR and 23 RBI. He’s batting a career 5 for 13 against Hamels and can be a factor in this game.

We have another low total here at 6.5. While it was a little easier for me to pull the trigger in the Dodgers game, this game is a bit tougher because these pitchers haven’t always been their best this season, but I still like the UNDER.

Key Note: If you can buy a ½ run up to 7 runs at another sportsbook, please do so.

Pick – Philadelphia/Washington UNDER 6.5 at Bet 365 (By ½ run to 7 wherever possible)

[gameodds]3/227989/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Good Luck, everyone. Play Ball!