MLB Picks: Solid Pitching Suggests the ‘Under’ in these Situations

Ross Benjamin

Tuesday, July 7, 2015 12:56 PM GMT

Our MLB consultant provides us with his daily “Totals of the Day” betting preview article for Tuesday’s action. He’s covering games between the Diamondbacks/Rangers and Angels/Rockies.

Diamondbacks (Ray) vs. Rangers (Gallardo) 8:05 PM ET
Robbie Ray has displayed very good form in four road starts this season. He had a superb 1.75 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and went 3-1 under the total in those starts. The southpaw hurler will be facing a Texas team tonight which is hitting an unimpressive .233 as a team in 32 games versus left-handed starting pitchers.

You just can’t pitch any better than Yavoni Gallardo has during his previous four starts. Gallardo didn’t allow an earned run and gave up just 14 hits in 26 1/3 innings pitched during that dominant stretch. As a matter of fact, Gallardo’s terrific pitching has extended well beyond his previous four starts. He’s posted a microscopic 0.88 ERA and allowed only 30 hits over 51 1/3 innings in his last eight starts. Gallardo is 9-4 under the total in his career versus Arizona with a stellar 1.98 ERA.

I like this game to be a low scoring affair, and one of my MLB picks on Tuesday will reflect that prediction. I will be calling JustBet.com to make this wager since they have the best price at the time of this writing.

MLB Pick: Arizona and Texas under 8.5 (+100) at JustBet.com.

Must Read: Predict the AL East team wins using this method

Angels (Heaney) vs. Rockies (Bettis) 8:40 PM ET
Andrew Heaney has been terrific in his two starts for the Angels since being called up from their AAA affiliate. In those two outings he’s posted an excellent 1.38 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and compiled a 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Granted the Angels have scored a plethora of runs (33) and banged out numerous hits (47) during their last three games. However, they’re pitching has also been sensational in recent games. They’ve allowed a paltry average of 2.1 runs per game and held opponents to an awful .214 team batting average during their last seven contests.

Chad Bettis has done what a lot of big league starters have never been able to do, he’s mastered the art of pitching at Coors Field thus far. Bettis has a sparkling 2.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in five home starts this season. The Rockies enter today hitting a miserable .212 as a team over their previous seven games.

 

MLB Super Angle

*The Angels are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season.

*The Angels are coming off a 12-6 win at Texas in their previous game.

*According to the MLB betting odds at 5Dimes the total in this game is 11.0.

Any American League road team with a total of 11.0 or more, averaging 4.7 or less runs per game, and scored 8 runs or more in their previous game, resulted in that road team going 36-9 (80%) under the total since 1997.

MLB Pick: Angels and Rockies under 11.0 (-115) at 5Dimes.